申请入读王国大学(Kingdom University)和岛屿大学(Island University)的学生必须使用其全国考试成绩。各大学的意向申请者的成绩可以用独立的正态分布来建模,其均值和标准差如表中所示。

  1. ((i))

    王国大学只录取前 30% 的意向申请者。求学生为了获得该大学录取必须达到的最低分数。

  2. ((ii))

    随机抽取 5 名王国大学的意向申请者和 5 名岛屿大学的意向申请者。

    求这两所大学的意向学生之间的平均成绩之差超过 50 的概率,

  3. ((iii))

    求这 10 名意向学生中的最低分数至少为 500 的概率,

  4. ((iv))

    求 5 名岛屿大学意向学生的总成绩比 1 名随机抽取的王国大学意向学生成绩的 5 倍还要多的概率。

先不看答案,让 AI 诊断你卡在哪里?

它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的

完整解法

13((i))

1. Define the random variable and formulate the equation for the top $30\%$.

Let XX be the score of a prospective applicant for Kingdom University.
X∼N(500,1002)X \sim \text{N}(500, 100^2)
Let kk be the minimum score required for admission.
P(X≥k)=0.30\text{P}(X \ge k) = 0.30

2. Solve for the minimum score using the inverse normal function.

P(X<k)=1−0.30=0.70\text{P}(X < k) = 1 - 0.30 = 0.70
Using a graphing calculator, k=552.440...k = 552.440...
k≈552 (to 3 s.f.)k \approx 552 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

答案

552552

13((ii))

1. Formulate the distributions of the sample mean scores for both universities.

Let XX and YY be the scores of prospective applicants for Kingdom University and Island University respectively.
X∼N(500,1002)X \sim \text{N}(500, 100^2) and Y∼N(480,602)Y \sim \text{N}(480, 60^2)
For random samples of size 55, the sample means Xˉ\bar{X} and Yˉ\bar{Y} are distributed as:
Xˉ∼N(500,10025)  ⟹  Xˉ∼N(500,2000)\bar{X} \sim \text{N}\left(500, \frac{100^2}{5}\right) \implies \bar{X} \sim \text{N}(500, 2000)
Yˉ∼N(480,6025)  ⟹  Yˉ∼N(480,720)\bar{Y} \sim \text{N}\left(480, \frac{60^2}{5}\right) \implies \bar{Y} \sim \text{N}(480, 720)

2. Determine the distribution of the difference between the two sample means.

Let W=Xˉ−YˉW = \bar{X} - \bar{Y} be the difference in the mean scores.
E(W)=E(Xˉ)−E(Yˉ)=500−480=20\text{E}(W) = \text{E}(\bar{X}) - \text{E}(\bar{Y}) = 500 - 480 = 20
Var(W)=Var(Xˉ)+Var(Yˉ)=2000+720=2720\text{Var}(W) = \text{Var}(\bar{X}) + \text{Var}(\bar{Y}) = 2000 + 720 = 2720
Thus, W∼N(20,2720)W \sim \text{N}(20, 2720).

3. Find the probability that the absolute difference exceeds 50.

We require P(∣W∣>50)\text{P}(|W| > 50).
P(∣W∣>50)=P(W>50)+P(W<−50)\text{P}(|W| > 50) = \text{P}(W > 50) + \text{P}(W < -50)
Using a graphing calculator:
P(W>50)≈0.28257\text{P}(W > 50) \approx 0.28257
P(W<−50)≈0.08976\text{P}(W < -50) \approx 0.08976
P(∣W∣>50)≈0.28257+0.08976=0.37233\text{P}(|W| > 50) \approx 0.28257 + 0.08976 = 0.37233
P(∣W∣>50)≈0.372 (to 3 s.f.)\text{P}(|W| > 50) \approx 0.372 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

答案

0.3720.372

13((iii))

1. Evaluate the probability that a single applicant from each university scores at least 500.

Let X∼N(500,1002)X \sim \mathrm{N}(500, 100^2) be the score of a Kingdom University applicant and Y∼N(480,602)Y \sim \mathrm{N}(480, 60^2) be the score of an Island University applicant.

For the minimum score of all 10 students to be at least 500, every single student in the sample must score at least 500.
P(X≥500)=0.5P(X \ge 500) = 0.5
P(Y≥500)=P(Z≥500−48060)=P(Z≥13)≈0.36944P(Y \ge 500) = P\left(Z \ge \frac{500 - 480}{60}\right) = P\left(Z \ge \frac{1}{3}\right) \approx 0.36944

2. Calculate the combined probability for all 10 independent students.

Since the sample students' scores are independent, we multiply their individual probabilities:
Required probability=[P(X≥500)]5×[P(Y≥500)]5\text{Required probability} = [P(X \ge 500)]^5 \times [P(Y \ge 500)]^5
=(0.5)5×(0.36944)5= (0.5)^5 \times (0.36944)^5
≈0.00021503\approx 0.00021503
≈0.000215 (to 3 s.f.)\approx 0.000215 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

答案

0.0002150.000215

13((iv))

1. Define the random variable representing the difference between the total score of 5 Island University students and 5 times the score of a Kingdom University student, and find its expectation.

Let I∼N(480,602)I \sim \mathrm{N}(480, 60^2) and K∼N(500,1002)K \sim \mathrm{N}(500, 100^2).
Let the combined random variable be X=(I1+I2+I3+I4+I5)−5KX = (I_1 + I_2 + I_3 + I_4 + I_5) - 5K.
E(X)=5E(I)−5E(K)=5(480)−5(500)=2400−2500=−100\begin{aligned}\mathrm{E}(X) &= 5\mathrm{E}(I) - 5\mathrm{E}(K)\\&= 5(480) - 5(500)\\&= 2400 - 2500 \\&= -100\end{aligned}

2. Calculate the variance of the linear combination.

Var(X)=5Var(I)+52Var(K)=5(602)+25(1002)=5(3600)+25(10000)=18000+250000=268000\begin{aligned}\mathrm{Var}(X) &= 5\mathrm{Var}(I) + 5^2\mathrm{Var}(K)\\&= 5(60^2) + 25(100^2)\\&= 5(3600) + 25(10000)\\&= 18000 + 250000 \\&= 268000\end{aligned}

3. State the distribution of the linear combination and calculate the required probability.

Since the individual distributions are independent normal distributions, X∼N(−100,268000)X \sim \mathrm{N}(-100, 268000).
The required probability is P(X>0)\mathrm{P}(X > 0).
Using a graphing calculator:
P(X>0)≈0.42342\mathrm{P}(X > 0) \approx 0.42342
P(X>0)=0.423 (to 3 s.f.)\mathrm{P}(X > 0) = 0.423 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

答案

0.4230.423

AI 分析,可能出错

用 AI 批改,圈出写错的那一步,并自动将你的薄弱点存入错题本,形成你的错因库。

同一知识点的其他题

  1. 1永初农场(Eng Choo Farm)的业主声称,其农场生产的鸡蛋平均每只含有 μ0\mu_0 毫克的胆固醇。 健康促进局从该农场随机抽取了 16 只鸡蛋,并测量了每只鸡蛋的胆固醇含量 xx 毫克。结果汇总如下: ∑x=2848\sum x = 2848…
  2. 2在本题中,你应该写出你所使用的任何分布的参数。 Crispy Cream 甜甜圈店销售 2 种甜甜圈:环形甜甜圈(Ring Donuts)和夹心甜甜圈(Filled Donuts)。环形甜甜圈和夹心甜甜圈的质量(以克为单位)分别服从正态分布…
  3. 3XX 是一个均值为 1、方差为 1 的正态随机变量,并且 YY 也是一个均值为 μ\mu、方差为 2 的正态随机变量。 已知 P(0≤X+Y<3)>0.44P(0 \le X + Y < 3) > 0.44,求 μ\mu 的所有可能值的范围。 若改为已知 μ=10\mu = 10…
  4. 4捕鱼公司 A 有两种类型的渔船:“标准型”渔船和“大型”渔船。在一次典型的捕鱼航行中,各渔船捕获的鱼量均呈正态分布,其均值和标准差如表所示。 捕鱼公司 B 与捕鱼公司 A 在同一海域作业。 然而,公司 B 拥有公司 A 两种渔船的改进版本:…
  5. 5在本题中,你应该清楚地陈述所使用的所有分布以及相应参数的值。 一位玩具设计师设计了用于平衡类益智玩具的加重木块。木块有两种类型:圆柱体木块和长方体木块。每个圆柱体木块和长方体木块的质量(以克为单位)均服从正态分布,参数如下: | | 均值…