在这道题中,你应该说明你所使用的任何分布的参数。 当地的一个鱼市因其销售的两种鱼而闻名。可以假设每种鱼的质量(单位:kg)服从独立的正态分布,其均值和标准差如下表所示。
- (a)
在特定的一天,陈太太带了 $50 到鱼市买鱼。红鲷鱼的价格为每千克 $18.50。
- (i)
求 2 条石斑鱼和 3 条红鲷鱼的总质量大于 2.25 kg 的概率。
- (ii)
假设陈太太决定只购买红鲷鱼。确定她最多可以购买的红鲷鱼数量 ,使得她有至少 95% 的把握有足够的钱来支付这次购买。
- (i)
- (b)
在另一天,陈太太决定只从市场购买石斑鱼。她带了足够的钱来购买 6 条石斑鱼。求在购买的 6 条石斑鱼中,有 3 条以上的质量均大 0.48 kg 的概率。
- (c)
假设陈太太购买了 6 条石斑鱼,求最轻的石斑鱼质量大于 0.48 kg 的概率。
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完整解法
14(a)(i)
1. Define the random variable for the total mass and find its expected value.
Let and be the masses of a Garoupa and a Snapper respectively.
Let be the total mass of 2 Garoupas and 3 Snappers.
2. Calculate the variance of the total mass.
Since the masses of the randomly chosen fishes are independent,
3. State the distribution of the total mass and compute the required probability.
As is a linear combination of independent normal variables, it is also normally distributed.
We require . Using a graphing calculator:
14(a)(ii)
1. Determine the normal distribution parameters for the total cost of $k$ Snappers.
Let be the mass of the -th Snapper. We are given .
The total cost for Snappers is .
Since the masses are independent,
2. Set up the probability inequality based on Mrs Tan's budget.
Mrs Tan brings and wants to be at least certain that she has enough money to pay for the purchase. This means we require:
3. Standardise the normal variable to form an inequality in terms of $k$.
Standardising the distribution of :
Using the standard normal distribution, , so we require the upper limit to be at least :
4. Solve the quadratic inequality to find the maximum integer value of $k$.
Let . The inequality is .
Solving the corresponding quadratic equation :
Since , we have .
Since must be a whole number, the maximum number of Snappers Mrs Tan could buy is 5.
(Alternatively, checking values using a graphing calculator gives for and for , confirming max .)
5
14(b)
1. Find the probability that a single Garoupa weighs more than 0.48 kg.
Let be the mass of a Garoupa in kg.
2. Set up a binomial distribution for the number of Garoupas weighing more than 0.48 kg.
Let be the number of Garoupas out of 6 that weigh more than 0.48 kg.
Assuming their masses are independent, .
3. Calculate the probability that more than 3 Garoupas weigh more than 0.48 kg.
We require .
Using a graphing calculator:
14(c)
1. Find the probability that a single Garoupa has a mass greater than 0.48 kg.
Let be the mass of a Garoupa.
2. Deduce the required condition and calculate the final probability for all 6 Garoupas.
The lightest Garoupa has a mass greater than if and only if all Garoupas have a mass greater than .
Assuming the masses of the Garoupas are independent,
(to 3 s.f.)
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