在大减价期间,男士和女士在各自试衣间的等待时间(以分钟为单位)的均值分别为 4.2 和 8.5,标准差分别为 1.6 和 2.2。
- ((i))
商场经理希望确保随机选取的 50 名女士在试衣间的平均等待时间超过 分钟的概率最多为 10%。求 的最小整数值。
- ((ii))
已知男士 and 女士的等待时间均服从正态分布,求随机选取的 6 名男士的总等待时间与随机选取的 1 名女士的等待时间的 3 倍相差超过 4 分钟的概率。陈述你计算中所需的一个假设。
- ((iii))
求在试衣间排队的 4 名女士中,至少有 3 名女士需要等待超过 8.5 分钟的概率。
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完整解法
8((i))
1. Define the random variable for the sample mean and state its distribution using the Central Limit Theorem.
Let be the waiting time of a woman, with mean and variance .
Let be the sample mean waiting time of 50 randomly chosen women.
Since the sample size is large (), by the Central Limit Theorem, is approximately normally distributed:
2. Formulate the inequality based on the given condition.
The problem states that the probability of the average waiting time exceeding minutes is at most . Hence,
3. Find the critical threshold for the probability using a graphing calculator.
First, find the threshold value such that .
Using the inverse normal function on a graphing calculator:
To satisfy , since the probability decreases as increases, we must have:
4. Determine the least integer value for $k$.
Since must be an integer and , the possible integer values are
The least integer value is:
8((ii))
1. Define the linear combination for the difference in waiting times and calculate its expected value.
Let and be the waiting times of a man and a woman respectively.
Let be the difference between the combined waiting time of 6 men and three times the waiting time of 1 woman:
.
2. Calculate the variance of the linear combination.
3. Determine the distribution of the linear combination and calculate the required probability using a graphing calculator.
Since the waiting times are normally distributed and assumed to be independent, .
We require the probability that the difference is strictly more than 4 minutes, which is .
Using the graphing calculator:
4. State the assumption required for the variance calculation to be valid.
Assumption: The waiting times of all the randomly chosen men and the randomly chosen woman are independent of one another.
Probability: (to 3 s.f.)
Assumption: The waiting times of all the men and the woman are independent of one another.
8((iii))
1. Find the probability that a single randomly chosen woman waits for more than 8.5 minutes.
Let be the waiting time for a woman. Based on the assumption from the previous part, follows a normal distribution with mean .
Due to the symmetry of the normal distribution curve about its mean:
2. Model the scenario using a Binomial distribution and calculate the probability of at least 3 women waiting more than 8.5 minutes.
Let be the number of women, out of 4, who wait for more than 8.5 minutes.
Since the women are chosen randomly, their waiting times are independent, and we can model this as .
We need to find :
(or )
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