Anand 编写了一个计算机程序,用于在受控环境中模拟生物种群。假设在模拟期间没有生物死亡或离开该环境。

  1. (a)

    在模拟 A 中,第 1 天有 200 个生物被引入到环境中。在随后的每一天开始时,又有 48 个生物被引入到环境中。求最早在第几天结束时,环境中的生物数量超过 2025。

  2. (b)

    在模拟 B 中,第 1 天有 15 个生物被引入到环境中。在随后的每一天开始时,环境中的每个生物都会额外产生两个同类型的生物,即在第 2 天结束时共有 45 个生物。求在第 20 天结束时环境中的生物数量。

  3. (c)

    在模拟 C 中,第 1 天有 5 个生物被引入环境中。在接下来的每一天开始时,环境中的生物将以以下两种方式之一进行繁衍:

    I:每个生物将繁衍出另外三个同类型的生物。

    II:每个生物将繁衍出另外五个同类型的生物。

    在第 2 天至第 9 天,这些生物在 mm 天中进行过程 I,在其余天数中进行过程 II。已知在第 9 天结束时共有 1,105,920 个生物,求 mm 的值。

  4. (d)

    随后,阿南德(Anand)调整了程序,使得该模拟能够允许生物在特定的时间节点死亡。

    在模拟 D 中,第 1 天开始时有 100 个生物被引入环境中。在每天结束时,环境中生物总数的 10% 将会死亡。在第 2 天及之后的每一天开始时,会有 20 个生物被引入环境中。

    1. (i)

      求在引入这些生物后,第 nn 天开始时该环境中种群数量 PP 的表达式。将你的答案写成 s−t(rn−1)s - t\left(r^{n-1}\right) 的形式,其中 ss 和 tt 是正整数,rr 是实数。

    2. (ii)

      描述长期来看该环境中的种群数量会发生什么变化。

    3. (iii)

      解释为什么 (ii) 中的结论不依赖于第 1 天环境中的种群规模。

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完整解法

10(a)

1. Formulate an expression for the number of organisms at the end of Day $n$.

The number of organisms forms an arithmetic sequence with first term a=200a = 200 and common difference d=48d = 48.
The number of organisms at the end of Day nn is 200+48(n−1)200 + 48(n - 1).

2. Set up and solve an inequality to find the first day the population exceeds 2025.

200+48(n−1)>2025200 + 48(n - 1) > 2025
48(n−1)>182548(n - 1) > 1825
n−1>182548n - 1 > \frac{1825}{48}
n−1>38.0208...n - 1 > 38.0208...
n>39.0208...n > 39.0208...
Since nn must be an integer, the smallest possible value is n=40n = 40.

答案

Day 40

10(b)

1. Identify the pattern as a geometric progression and find the common ratio.

Let unu_n be the number of organisms at the end of Day nn.
Given u1=15u_1 = 15.
For each subsequent day, each organism spawns 2 more, so the total becomes the original 1 plus the 2 new ones. Thus, the population is multiplied by 3 each day.
u2=15+15(2)=45=15×3u_2 = 15 + 15(2) = 45 = 15 \times 3
This forms a geometric progression with first term a=15a = 15 and common ratio r=3r = 3.

2. Use the $n$th term formula for a geometric progression to find the population at the end of Day 20.

Using the nnth term formula un=arn−1u_n = ar^{n-1} with n=20n = 20:
u20=15(3)20−1u_{20} = 15(3)^{20-1}
u20=15(3)19u_{20} = 15(3)^{19}
u20=17 433 922 005u_{20} = 17\,433\,922\,005

答案

17 433 922 00517\,433\,922\,005 (or 15×31915 \times 3^{19})

10(c)

1. Determine the multipliers for each process and formulate an equation for the final population.

In Process I, each organism spawns 3 more, so the population is multiplied by 1+3=41 + 3 = 4.
In Process II, each organism spawns 5 more, so the population is multiplied by 1+5=61 + 5 = 6.
From Day 2 to Day 9, the processes occur for 9−2+1=89 - 2 + 1 = 8 days in total.
The population undergoes Process I for mm days and Process II for (8−m)(8 - m) days.
Equation for the population at the end of Day 9:
5×4m×68−m=11059205 \times 4^m \times 6^{8-m} = 1105920

2. Solve the equation for $m$ using laws of indices.

4m×686m=110592054^m \times \frac{6^8}{6^m} = \frac{1105920}{5}
(46)m×1679616=221184\left(\frac{4}{6}\right)^m \times 1679616 = 221184
(23)m=2211841679616\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^m = \frac{221184}{1679616}
(23)m=32243\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^m = \frac{32}{243}
Since 32243=2535\frac{32}{243} = \frac{2^5}{3^5}:
(23)m=(23)5\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^m = \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^5
m=5m = 5
(Note: Students can also solve this by systematically testing integer values for mm from 0 to 8).

答案

m=5m = 5

10(d)(i)

1. Express the population size for the first few days to find a pattern.

Let PnP_n be the population at the start of Day nn, after the introduction of new organisms.
P1=100P_1 = 100
P2=100(0.9)+20P_2 = 100(0.9) + 20
P3=[100(0.9)+20](0.9)+20=100(0.9)2+20(0.9)+20P_3 = [100(0.9) + 20](0.9) + 20 = 100(0.9)^2 + 20(0.9) + 20
P4=[100(0.9)2+20(0.9)+20](0.9)+20=100(0.9)3+20(0.9)2+20(0.9)+20P_4 = [100(0.9)^2 + 20(0.9) + 20](0.9) + 20 = 100(0.9)^3 + 20(0.9)^2 + 20(0.9) + 20

2. Generalise the pattern for $P_n$ and identify the geometric series.

Following the pattern, for Day nn:
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+[20(0.9)n−2+20(0.9)n−3+⋯+20(0.9)+20]P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + \left[ 20(0.9)^{n-2} + 20(0.9)^{n-3} + \dots + 20(0.9) + 20 \right]
The terms in the square brackets form a geometric progression with first term a=20a=20, common ratio r=0.9r=0.9, and the number of terms is n−1n-1.

3. Apply the sum formula for a geometric progression to simplify the expression.

Sn−1=a(1−rn−1)1−r=20(1−0.9n−1)1−0.9S_{n-1} = \frac{a(1-r^{n-1})}{1-r} = \frac{20(1-0.9^{n-1})}{1-0.9}
Sn−1=20(1−0.9n−1)0.1=200(1−0.9n−1)S_{n-1} = \frac{20(1-0.9^{n-1})}{0.1} = 200(1-0.9^{n-1})

4. Combine the terms to find the final expression for $P_n$ in the required form.

Pn=100(0.9)n−1+200(1−0.9n−1)P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 200(1-0.9^{n-1})
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+200−200(0.9)n−1P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 200 - 200(0.9)^{n-1}
Pn=200−100(0.9)n−1P_n = 200 - 100(0.9)^{n-1}
This is in the form s−t(rn−1)s - t(r^{n-1}) where s=200s=200, t=100t=100, and r=0.9r=0.9.

答案

200−100(0.9)n−1200 - 100(0.9)^{n-1}

10(d)(ii)

1. Determine the expression for $P_n$ from part (d)(i) to use for the long-term behaviour.

Let PnP_n be the population at the start of Day nn.
P1=100P_1 = 100
P2=100(0.9)+20P_2 = 100(0.9) + 20
Following the pattern,
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+20(0.9)n−2+⋯+20P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 20(0.9)^{n-2} + \dots + 20
Using the sum of a geometric progression for the terms involving 2020,
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+20(1−0.9n−1)1−0.9P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + \frac{20(1 - 0.9^{n-1})}{1 - 0.9}
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+200(1−0.9n−1)=200−100(0.9)n−1P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 200(1 - 0.9^{n-1}) = 200 - 100(0.9)^{n-1}

2. Evaluate the limit of $P_n$ as $n$ approaches infinity.

In the long term, n→∞n \to \infty.
Since 0<0.9<10 < 0.9 < 1, (0.9)n−1→0(0.9)^{n-1} \to 0 as n→∞n \to \infty.
Therefore, Pn→200−100(0)=200P_n \to 200 - 100(0) = 200.

答案

The population size approaches 200200.

10(d)(iii)

1. Explain that the term containing the initial population diminishes to zero in the long term.

If the initial population on Day 1 is AA, the population on Day nn generally takes the form Pn=200+(A−200)(0.9n−1)P_n = 200 + (A - 200)(0.9^{n-1}).
As n→∞n \to \infty, since the common ratio is 0.90.9 (which is strictly between −1-1 and 11), 0.9n−1→00.9^{n-1} \to 0.
Therefore, the term containing the initial population AA vanishes as nn becomes very large, meaning the long-term population size will always tend to 200 regardless of AA.

答案

If the initial population is AA, its contribution to the population on Day nn involves the term (0.9)n−1(0.9)^{n-1}. As nn becomes very large, (0.9)n−1(0.9)^{n-1} approaches 0, so the term containing the initial population size vanishes and does not affect the long-term outcome.

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