Anand writes a computer programme to simulate a population of organisms in a controlled environment. It is assumed that none of the organisms die or leave the environment within the duration of a simulation.
- (a)
In Simulation A, 200 organisms are introduced to the environment on Day 1. At the start of each subsequent day, 48 more organisms are introduced to the environment. Find the first day when the number of organisms in the environment exceeds 2025 at the end of that day.
- (b)
In Simulation B, 15 organisms are introduced to the environment on Day 1. At the start of each subsequent day, each organism in the environment spawns two more organisms of the same type, i.e. there are 45 organisms at the end of Day 2. Find the number of organisms in the environment at the end of Day 20.
- (c)
In Simulation C, 5 organisms are introduced to the environment on Day 1. At the start of each subsequent day, the organisms in the environment will spawn in either one of the following ways.
I: Each organism will spawn three more organisms of the same type.
II: Each organism will spawn five more organisms of the same type.
On Day 2 to Day 9, the organisms undergo process I on days and process II on the other days. Given that there are 1,105,920 organisms at the end of Day 9, find the value of .
- (d)
Anand then adjusts the programme such that the simulation would allow for organisms to die at certain junctures.
In Simulation D, 100 organisms are introduced to the environment at the start of Day 1. At the end of each day, 10% of the total population in the environment would die. At the start of Day 2 and each subsequent day, 20 organisms are introduced to the environment.
- (i)
Find an expression for the population size, , in the environment at the start of Day , after the organisms have been introduced. Leave your answer in the form , where and are positive integers and is a real number.
- (ii)
Describe what happens to the population size in the environment in the long term.
- (iii)
Explain why the conclusion in (ii) does not depend on the population size in the environment on Day 1.
- (i)
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Worked solution
10(a)
1. Formulate an expression for the number of organisms at the end of Day $n$.
The number of organisms forms an arithmetic sequence with first term and common difference .
The number of organisms at the end of Day is .
2. Set up and solve an inequality to find the first day the population exceeds 2025.
Since must be an integer, the smallest possible value is .
Day 40
10(b)
1. Identify the pattern as a geometric progression and find the common ratio.
Let be the number of organisms at the end of Day .
Given .
For each subsequent day, each organism spawns 2 more, so the total becomes the original 1 plus the 2 new ones. Thus, the population is multiplied by 3 each day.
This forms a geometric progression with first term and common ratio .
2. Use the $n$th term formula for a geometric progression to find the population at the end of Day 20.
Using the th term formula with :
(or )
10(c)
1. Determine the multipliers for each process and formulate an equation for the final population.
In Process I, each organism spawns 3 more, so the population is multiplied by .
In Process II, each organism spawns 5 more, so the population is multiplied by .
From Day 2 to Day 9, the processes occur for days in total.
The population undergoes Process I for days and Process II for days.
Equation for the population at the end of Day 9:
2. Solve the equation for $m$ using laws of indices.
Since :
(Note: Students can also solve this by systematically testing integer values for from 0 to 8).
10(d)(i)
1. Express the population size for the first few days to find a pattern.
Let be the population at the start of Day , after the introduction of new organisms.
2. Generalise the pattern for $P_n$ and identify the geometric series.
Following the pattern, for Day :
The terms in the square brackets form a geometric progression with first term , common ratio , and the number of terms is .
3. Apply the sum formula for a geometric progression to simplify the expression.
4. Combine the terms to find the final expression for $P_n$ in the required form.
This is in the form where , , and .
10(d)(ii)
1. Determine the expression for $P_n$ from part (d)(i) to use for the long-term behaviour.
Let be the population at the start of Day .
Following the pattern,
Using the sum of a geometric progression for the terms involving ,
2. Evaluate the limit of $P_n$ as $n$ approaches infinity.
In the long term, .
Since , as .
Therefore, .
The population size approaches .
10(d)(iii)
1. Explain that the term containing the initial population diminishes to zero in the long term.
If the initial population on Day 1 is , the population on Day generally takes the form .
As , since the common ratio is (which is strictly between and ), .
Therefore, the term containing the initial population vanishes as becomes very large, meaning the long-term population size will always tend to 200 regardless of .
If the initial population is , its contribution to the population on Day involves the term . As becomes very large, approaches 0, so the term containing the initial population size vanishes and does not affect the long-term outcome.
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