Anand writes a computer programme to simulate a population of organisms in a controlled environment. It is assumed that none of the organisms die or leave the environment within the duration of a simulation.

  1. (a)

    In Simulation A, 200 organisms are introduced to the environment on Day 1. At the start of each subsequent day, 48 more organisms are introduced to the environment. Find the first day when the number of organisms in the environment exceeds 2025 at the end of that day.

  2. (b)

    In Simulation B, 15 organisms are introduced to the environment on Day 1. At the start of each subsequent day, each organism in the environment spawns two more organisms of the same type, i.e. there are 45 organisms at the end of Day 2. Find the number of organisms in the environment at the end of Day 20.

  3. (c)

    In Simulation C, 5 organisms are introduced to the environment on Day 1. At the start of each subsequent day, the organisms in the environment will spawn in either one of the following ways.

    I: Each organism will spawn three more organisms of the same type.

    II: Each organism will spawn five more organisms of the same type.

    On Day 2 to Day 9, the organisms undergo process I on mm days and process II on the other days. Given that there are 1,105,920 organisms at the end of Day 9, find the value of mm.

  4. (d)

    Anand then adjusts the programme such that the simulation would allow for organisms to die at certain junctures.

    In Simulation D, 100 organisms are introduced to the environment at the start of Day 1. At the end of each day, 10% of the total population in the environment would die. At the start of Day 2 and each subsequent day, 20 organisms are introduced to the environment.

    1. (i)

      Find an expression for the population size, PP, in the environment at the start of Day nn, after the organisms have been introduced. Leave your answer in the form s−t(rn−1)s - t\left(r^{n-1}\right), where ss and tt are positive integers and rr is a real number.

    2. (ii)

      Describe what happens to the population size in the environment in the long term.

    3. (iii)

      Explain why the conclusion in (ii) does not depend on the population size in the environment on Day 1.

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Worked solution

10(a)

1. Formulate an expression for the number of organisms at the end of Day $n$.

The number of organisms forms an arithmetic sequence with first term a=200a = 200 and common difference d=48d = 48.
The number of organisms at the end of Day nn is 200+48(n−1)200 + 48(n - 1).

2. Set up and solve an inequality to find the first day the population exceeds 2025.

200+48(n−1)>2025200 + 48(n - 1) > 2025
48(n−1)>182548(n - 1) > 1825
n−1>182548n - 1 > \frac{1825}{48}
n−1>38.0208...n - 1 > 38.0208...
n>39.0208...n > 39.0208...
Since nn must be an integer, the smallest possible value is n=40n = 40.

Answer

Day 40

10(b)

1. Identify the pattern as a geometric progression and find the common ratio.

Let unu_n be the number of organisms at the end of Day nn.
Given u1=15u_1 = 15.
For each subsequent day, each organism spawns 2 more, so the total becomes the original 1 plus the 2 new ones. Thus, the population is multiplied by 3 each day.
u2=15+15(2)=45=15×3u_2 = 15 + 15(2) = 45 = 15 \times 3
This forms a geometric progression with first term a=15a = 15 and common ratio r=3r = 3.

2. Use the $n$th term formula for a geometric progression to find the population at the end of Day 20.

Using the nnth term formula un=arn−1u_n = ar^{n-1} with n=20n = 20:
u20=15(3)20−1u_{20} = 15(3)^{20-1}
u20=15(3)19u_{20} = 15(3)^{19}
u20=17 433 922 005u_{20} = 17\,433\,922\,005

Answer

17 433 922 00517\,433\,922\,005 (or 15×31915 \times 3^{19})

10(c)

1. Determine the multipliers for each process and formulate an equation for the final population.

In Process I, each organism spawns 3 more, so the population is multiplied by 1+3=41 + 3 = 4.
In Process II, each organism spawns 5 more, so the population is multiplied by 1+5=61 + 5 = 6.
From Day 2 to Day 9, the processes occur for 9−2+1=89 - 2 + 1 = 8 days in total.
The population undergoes Process I for mm days and Process II for (8−m)(8 - m) days.
Equation for the population at the end of Day 9:
5×4m×68−m=11059205 \times 4^m \times 6^{8-m} = 1105920

2. Solve the equation for $m$ using laws of indices.

4m×686m=110592054^m \times \frac{6^8}{6^m} = \frac{1105920}{5}
(46)m×1679616=221184\left(\frac{4}{6}\right)^m \times 1679616 = 221184
(23)m=2211841679616\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^m = \frac{221184}{1679616}
(23)m=32243\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^m = \frac{32}{243}
Since 32243=2535\frac{32}{243} = \frac{2^5}{3^5}:
(23)m=(23)5\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^m = \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^5
m=5m = 5
(Note: Students can also solve this by systematically testing integer values for mm from 0 to 8).

Answer

m=5m = 5

10(d)(i)

1. Express the population size for the first few days to find a pattern.

Let PnP_n be the population at the start of Day nn, after the introduction of new organisms.
P1=100P_1 = 100
P2=100(0.9)+20P_2 = 100(0.9) + 20
P3=[100(0.9)+20](0.9)+20=100(0.9)2+20(0.9)+20P_3 = [100(0.9) + 20](0.9) + 20 = 100(0.9)^2 + 20(0.9) + 20
P4=[100(0.9)2+20(0.9)+20](0.9)+20=100(0.9)3+20(0.9)2+20(0.9)+20P_4 = [100(0.9)^2 + 20(0.9) + 20](0.9) + 20 = 100(0.9)^3 + 20(0.9)^2 + 20(0.9) + 20

2. Generalise the pattern for $P_n$ and identify the geometric series.

Following the pattern, for Day nn:
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+[20(0.9)n−2+20(0.9)n−3+⋯+20(0.9)+20]P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + \left[ 20(0.9)^{n-2} + 20(0.9)^{n-3} + \dots + 20(0.9) + 20 \right]
The terms in the square brackets form a geometric progression with first term a=20a=20, common ratio r=0.9r=0.9, and the number of terms is n−1n-1.

3. Apply the sum formula for a geometric progression to simplify the expression.

Sn−1=a(1−rn−1)1−r=20(1−0.9n−1)1−0.9S_{n-1} = \frac{a(1-r^{n-1})}{1-r} = \frac{20(1-0.9^{n-1})}{1-0.9}
Sn−1=20(1−0.9n−1)0.1=200(1−0.9n−1)S_{n-1} = \frac{20(1-0.9^{n-1})}{0.1} = 200(1-0.9^{n-1})

4. Combine the terms to find the final expression for $P_n$ in the required form.

Pn=100(0.9)n−1+200(1−0.9n−1)P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 200(1-0.9^{n-1})
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+200−200(0.9)n−1P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 200 - 200(0.9)^{n-1}
Pn=200−100(0.9)n−1P_n = 200 - 100(0.9)^{n-1}
This is in the form s−t(rn−1)s - t(r^{n-1}) where s=200s=200, t=100t=100, and r=0.9r=0.9.

Answer

200−100(0.9)n−1200 - 100(0.9)^{n-1}

10(d)(ii)

1. Determine the expression for $P_n$ from part (d)(i) to use for the long-term behaviour.

Let PnP_n be the population at the start of Day nn.
P1=100P_1 = 100
P2=100(0.9)+20P_2 = 100(0.9) + 20
Following the pattern,
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+20(0.9)n−2+⋯+20P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 20(0.9)^{n-2} + \dots + 20
Using the sum of a geometric progression for the terms involving 2020,
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+20(1−0.9n−1)1−0.9P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + \frac{20(1 - 0.9^{n-1})}{1 - 0.9}
Pn=100(0.9)n−1+200(1−0.9n−1)=200−100(0.9)n−1P_n = 100(0.9)^{n-1} + 200(1 - 0.9^{n-1}) = 200 - 100(0.9)^{n-1}

2. Evaluate the limit of $P_n$ as $n$ approaches infinity.

In the long term, n→∞n \to \infty.
Since 0<0.9<10 < 0.9 < 1, (0.9)n−1→0(0.9)^{n-1} \to 0 as n→∞n \to \infty.
Therefore, Pn→200−100(0)=200P_n \to 200 - 100(0) = 200.

Answer

The population size approaches 200200.

10(d)(iii)

1. Explain that the term containing the initial population diminishes to zero in the long term.

If the initial population on Day 1 is AA, the population on Day nn generally takes the form Pn=200+(A−200)(0.9n−1)P_n = 200 + (A - 200)(0.9^{n-1}).
As n→∞n \to \infty, since the common ratio is 0.90.9 (which is strictly between −1-1 and 11), 0.9n−1→00.9^{n-1} \to 0.
Therefore, the term containing the initial population AA vanishes as nn becomes very large, meaning the long-term population size will always tend to 200 regardless of AA.

Answer

If the initial population is AA, its contribution to the population on Day nn involves the term (0.9)n−1(0.9)^{n-1}. As nn becomes very large, (0.9)n−1(0.9)^{n-1} approaches 0, so the term containing the initial population size vanishes and does not affect the long-term outcome.

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