在这道题中,你应该写明你所使用的任何分布的参数。 一个果园销售两种奇异果,分别为型和型。型和型奇异果的质量(以克为单位)分别服从分布 和 。假设这两个分布是独立的。 奇异果被随机选择并装袋。型奇异果每袋装 30 个,而型奇异果每袋装 60 个。
- (a)
在随机选择的一袋型奇异果中,求奇异果的平均质量在 109 克到 115 克之间的概率。
- (b)
型和 型奇异果的售价分别为每公斤 $25 和每公斤 $15。
求一袋 型奇异果中奇异果的平均售价比一袋 型奇异果中奇异果的平均售价最多高出 $1.50 的概率。
- (c)
该果园还生产转基因 型奇异果,每袋装有 50 个。 型奇异果的质量同分布,均值为 90 克,标准差为 5 克。
每个混合礼盒包含一袋 型奇异果和一袋 型奇异果。如果礼盒中奇异果的总质量至少为 7.85 公斤,则该礼盒适合销售。
随机抽取 10 个混合礼盒。求没有一个礼盒适合销售的概率。
- (d)
结合具体情境,陈述第 (c) 部分所使用的分布所需的近似和假设。
它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的
完整解法
10(a)
1. State the distribution of the sample mean mass of Type $A$ kiwis.
Let be the mean mass of a random sample of Type kiwis.
Since the mass of a Type kiwi follows , the sample mean is exactly normally distributed:
2. Calculate the probability that the mean mass is between 109 grams and 115 grams.
Using a graphing calculator to find the normal probability:
10(b)
1. Define the random variables for the sample means of the masses of Type A and Type B kiwis.
Let and be the sample means of the masses in a bag of Type (30 kiwis) and Type (60 kiwis) respectively.
2. Formulate the random variable for the difference in the average selling prices per kiwi.
The selling prices per gram are for Type and for Type .
Let be the difference between the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type and a bag of Type .
So
3. Calculate the required probability.
The probability that the average price of a Type kiwi is more than a Type kiwi by at most is .
(to 3 s.f.)
10(c)
1. Find the distributions of the total masses of a bag of Type A kiwis and a bag of Type G kiwis.
Let be the total mass of a bag of 30 Type kiwis, and be the total mass of a bag of 50 Type kiwis.
Since :
For Type kiwis, the distribution is unknown. However, since the sample size is large, by the Central Limit Theorem:
approximately.
2. Define the distribution for the total mass of the Assortment Box and find the probability of a box being fit for sale.
Let the total mass of an Assortment Box be .
Since is normally distributed and is approximately normally distributed (and they are independent):
Thus, approximately.
A box is fit for sale if its total mass is at least .
3. Model the number of fit boxes with a Binomial distribution and calculate the final probability.
Let be the number of boxes out of 10 that are fit for sale.
Assuming the masses of the 10 boxes are independent, follows a Binomial distribution:
The probability that none of the boxes are fit for sale is:
Correct to 3 significant figures, the probability is .
0.197
10(d)
1. State the approximation used for the distribution of Type G kiwis.
Approximation: Since the sample size of 50 Type kiwis is sufficiently large (), by the Central Limit Theorem, the total mass of the 50 Type kiwis in a bag is approximately normally distributed.
2. State the assumption(s) required to combine the distributions.
Assumption(s): The mass of any Type kiwi is independent of the mass of any other Type kiwi. Furthermore, the masses of Type kiwis and the masses of Type kiwis are independent of each other.
Approximation: By the Central Limit Theorem, since the sample size of 50 is large, the total mass of 50 Type kiwis is approximately normally distributed.
Assumption: The masses of the Type kiwis are independent of each other, and the masses of Type kiwis are independent of the masses of Type kiwis.
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