从包含10个数字的集合 {0, 1, 2, . . . , 9} 中独立且随机地选择两个数字 XX 和 YY。事件 AA 和 BB 定义如下: A:X=Y+1X = Y + 1。 B:XX 和 YY 都小于 6。 求: P(A)。 P(B)。 P(A∪B)P(A \cup B)。 在6月的某个下午,5名女生和4名男生在邵氏图书馆(Shaw Library),6名女生和9名男生在霍莱特图书馆(Hullett Library)。一位老师从每个图书馆中随机挑选2名学生,分发4张免费音乐会门票。 计算收到门票的学生中,有2名女生和2名男生的概率。 已知收到门票的学生中有2名女生和2名男生,求从霍莱特图书馆选出的2名学生性别相同的概率。

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完整解法

11(a)(i)

1. Find the total number of outcomes and the number of favorable outcomes for event A

Since XX and YY are chosen independently from 10 digits, the total number of possible pairs (X,Y)(X, Y) is:
10×10=10010 \times 10 = 100

For event A (X=Y+1X = Y + 1), the possible pairs are:
(1,0),(2,1),(3,2),(4,3),(5,4),(6,5),(7,6),(8,7),(9,8)(1, 0), (2, 1), (3, 2), (4, 3), (5, 4), (6, 5), (7, 6), (8, 7), (9, 8)
There are 9 favorable outcomes.

2. Calculate the probability of event A

P(A)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomes=9100\text{P}(A) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} = \frac{9}{100}

答案

9100\frac{9}{100}

11(a)(ii)

1. Find the probability that a single chosen digit is less than 6.

The digits less than 6 from the set of 10 digits are {0,1,2,3,4,5}\{0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5\}. There are 6 such digits.
P(X<6)=610=35P(X < 6) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5}
Similarly, P(Y<6)=35P(Y < 6) = \frac{3}{5}.

2. Calculate $P(B)$ using the independence of $X$ and $Y$.

Since XX and YY are chosen independently:
P(B)=P(X<6)×P(Y<6)P(B) = P(X < 6) \times P(Y < 6)
P(B)=35×35=925P(B) = \frac{3}{5} \times \frac{3}{5} = \frac{9}{25}

答案

925\frac{9}{25}

11(a)(iii)

1. Concise calculation of $P(A)$ and $P(B)$ from parts (i) and (ii).

The total number of outcomes is 10×10=10010 \times 10 = 100.
For Event A (X=Y+1X = Y + 1), the pairs are (1,0),(2,1),…,(9,8)(1,0), (2,1), \dots, (9,8). There are 99 pairs, so P(A)=9100P(A) = \frac{9}{100}.
For Event B (X<6X < 6 and Y<6Y < 6), there are 6×6=366 \times 6 = 36 outcomes. Thus, P(B)=36100P(B) = \frac{36}{100}.

2. Find the probability of the intersection, $P(A \cap B)$.

The intersection A∩BA \cap B contains outcomes that satisfy both events: X=Y+1X = Y + 1 and X,Y<6X, Y < 6.
Listing these outcomes: (1,0),(2,1),(3,2),(4,3),(5,4)(1,0), (2,1), (3,2), (4,3), (5,4).
There are 5 such outcomes, so P(A∩B)=5100P(A \cap B) = \frac{5}{100}.

3. Calculate $P(A \cup B)$ using the addition rule.

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)
P(A∪B)=9100+36100−5100=40100=25P(A \cup B) = \frac{9}{100} + \frac{36}{100} - \frac{5}{100} = \frac{40}{100} = \frac{2}{5}

答案

25\frac{2}{5}

11(b)(i)

1. Identify all mutually exclusive cases that result in 2 girls and 2 boys being selected in total.

Let GG represent a girl and BB represent a boy. Since 2 students are selected from each library, the possible distributions from the Shaw Library and the Hullett Library respectively are:

  • Case 1: 2 GG from Shaw, 2 BB from Hullett
  • Case 2: 1 GG and 1 BB from Shaw, 1 GG and 1 BB from Hullett
  • Case 3: 2 BB from Shaw, 2 GG from Hullett

2. Calculate the probability of each independent case occurring.

The selections from the two libraries are independent. Using combinations (nr)\binom{n}{r}:

P(Case 1)=(52)(92)×(92)(152)=1036×36105=221P(\text{Case 1}) = \frac{\binom{5}{2}}{\binom{9}{2}} \times \frac{\binom{9}{2}}{\binom{15}{2}} = \frac{10}{36} \times \frac{36}{105} = \frac{2}{21}

P(Case 2)=(51)(41)(92)×(61)(91)(152)=2036×54105=27P(\text{Case 2}) = \frac{\binom{5}{1}\binom{4}{1}}{\binom{9}{2}} \times \frac{\binom{6}{1}\binom{9}{1}}{\binom{15}{2}} = \frac{20}{36} \times \frac{54}{105} = \frac{2}{7}

P(Case 3)=(42)(92)×(62)(152)=636×15105=142P(\text{Case 3}) = \frac{\binom{4}{2}}{\binom{9}{2}} \times \frac{\binom{6}{2}}{\binom{15}{2}} = \frac{6}{36} \times \frac{15}{105} = \frac{1}{42}

3. Sum the probabilities of the mutually exclusive cases.

Total Probability=P(Case 1)+P(Case 2)+P(Case 3)\text{Total Probability} = P(\text{Case 1}) + P(\text{Case 2}) + P(\text{Case 3})
=221+27+142= \frac{2}{21} + \frac{2}{7} + \frac{1}{42}
=442+1242+142=1742= \frac{4}{42} + \frac{12}{42} + \frac{1}{42} = \frac{17}{42}

答案

\frac{17}{42}

11(b)(ii)

1. Calculate the total probability of selecting exactly 2 girls and 2 boys (required result from part b(i)).

Let SS be Shaw Library and HH be Hullett Library. The event of selecting 2 girls and 2 boys overall consists of three mutually exclusive cases: (2G from SS, 2B from HH), (2B from SS, 2G from HH), and (1G1B from SS, 1G1B from HH).

P(2G, 2B)=(5C29C2)(9C215C2)+(4C29C2)(6C215C2)+(5C1×4C19C2)(6C1×9C115C2)\text{P(2G, 2B)} = \left(\frac{^5\text{C}_2}{^9\text{C}_2}\right)\left(\frac{^9\text{C}_2}{^{15}\text{C}_2}\right) + \left(\frac{^4\text{C}_2}{^9\text{C}_2}\right)\left(\frac{^6\text{C}_2}{^{15}\text{C}_2}\right) + \left(\frac{^5\text{C}_1 \times ^4\text{C}_1}{^9\text{C}_2}\right)\left(\frac{^6\text{C}_1 \times ^9\text{C}_1}{^{15}\text{C}_2}\right)
=(1036×36105)+(636×15105)+(2036×54105)= \left(\frac{10}{36} \times \frac{36}{105}\right) + \left(\frac{6}{36} \times \frac{15}{105}\right) + \left(\frac{20}{36} \times \frac{54}{105}\right)
=3603780+903780+10803780= \frac{360}{3780} + \frac{90}{3780} + \frac{1080}{3780}
=15303780=1742= \frac{1530}{3780} = \frac{17}{42}

2. Find the probability of the intersection: the 2 students from Hullett are of the same gender AND overall there are exactly 2 girls and 2 boys.

For the students from Hullett to be of the same gender while satisfying the 2G and 2B overall condition, the outcome must be either (2B from SS, 2G from HH) or (2G from SS, 2B from HH).

P(Hullett same gender∩2G, 2B)=(1036×36105)+(636×15105)\text{P(Hullett same gender} \cap \text{2G, 2B)} = \left(\frac{10}{36} \times \frac{36}{105}\right) + \left(\frac{6}{36} \times \frac{15}{105}\right)
=3603780+903780= \frac{360}{3780} + \frac{90}{3780}
=4503780=542= \frac{450}{3780} = \frac{5}{42}

3. Calculate the conditional probability.

Using the conditional probability formula P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)\text{P}(A|B) = \frac{\text{P}(A \cap B)}{\text{P}(B)}:

P(Hullett same gender | 2G, 2B)=5421742\text{P(Hullett same gender | 2G, 2B)} = \frac{\frac{5}{42}}{\frac{17}{42}}
=517= \frac{5}{17}

答案

\frac{5}{17}

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