在一个有 500 万人口的城市中,一家新公司的客户数量增长率与非其客户的人数成正比。该公司确定,为了使业务盈利,它在任何时间点都必须拥有至少 100 万客户。 该公司从 0 个客户起步,在运营第三年结束时拥有 100 万客户。假设在任何时间点人口都保持不变。

  1. (i)

    列出包含 yy 和 tt 的微分方程,其中 yy 是客户数量(以百万为单位),tt 是自公司开始运营以来的年数。由此证明 y=5(1−ekt)y = 5(1 - e^{kt}),其中 kk 是一个待确定的常数。

  2. (ii)

    画出 yy 关于 tt 的图像。

  3. (iii)

    在运营第 6 年年底,该公司拥有 180 万客户。然而,由于出现新的竞争对手,其客户数量的增长率现在由以下方程建模:

    d2ydt2=−0.1.\frac{\mathrm{d}^2 y}{\mathrm{d}t^2} = -0.1 .

    已知在此模型下,其客户数量将在随后的运营年年底下降到 165 万。

    确定在第几年该公司的业务将变得无利可图。

先不看答案,让 AI 诊断你卡在哪里?

它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的

完整解法

11(i)

1. Formulate the differential equation using the given rate of change.

Let the proportionality constant be mm.
Since the total population is 5 million and yy is the number of customers (in millions), the number of people who are not customers is 5−y5 - y.
The rate of increase of customers is proportional to this number:
dydt=m(5−y)\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}t} = m(5 - y)

2. Separate the variables and integrate to find the general solution.

Separating the variables:
∫15−y dy=∫m dt\int \frac{1}{5-y} \,\mathrm{d}y = \int m \,\mathrm{d}t
−ln⁡(5−y)=mt+C-\ln(5 - y) = mt + C
(Note: The modulus is dropped since 5−y>05 - y > 0 as the number of customers cannot exceed the total population.)
5−y=e−mt−C=Ae−mt5 - y = e^{-mt - C} = A e^{-mt}
where A=e−CA = e^{-C} is an arbitrary constant.

3. Apply the initial condition to find the constant of integration and show the given form.

The company starts with 0 customers, so y=0y = 0 when t=0t = 0:
5−0=Ae0  ⟹  A=55 - 0 = A e^0 \implies A = 5
Substituting A=5A = 5 into the equation:
5−y=5e−mt5 - y = 5 e^{-mt}
y=5(1−e−mt)y = 5(1 - e^{-mt})
By letting k=−mk = -m, we can rewrite this in the required form:
y=5(1−ekt)y = 5(1 - e^{kt})

4. Apply the secondary condition to determine the exact value of $k$.

At the end of the third year (t=3t = 3), the company has 1 million customers (y=1y = 1):
1=5(1−e3k)1 = 5(1 - e^{3k})
15=1−e3k\frac{1}{5} = 1 - e^{3k}
e3k=1−0.2=0.8e^{3k} = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8
3k=ln⁡0.83k = \ln 0.8
k=13ln⁡0.8≈−0.0744 (to 3 s.f.)k = \frac{1}{3}\ln 0.8 \approx -0.0744 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

答案

dydt=m(5−y)\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}t} = m(5 - y)
y=5(1−ekt) (shown)y = 5(1 - e^{kt}) \text{ (shown)}
k=13ln⁡0.8≈−0.0744k = \frac{1}{3}\ln 0.8 \approx -0.0744

11(ii)

1. Find the starting point (intercept) and the horizontal asymptote.

For t=0t = 0:
y=5(1−e0)=5(0)=0y = 5(1 - e^0) = 5(0) = 0
The curve starts at the origin (0,0)(0,0).

From part (i), we know k<0k < 0. As t→∞t \to \infty:
ekt→0e^{kt} \to 0
y→5(1−0)=5y \to 5(1 - 0) = 5
So, the line y=5y = 5 is a horizontal asymptote.

2. Sketch the graph for the practical domain ($t \ge 0$).

  • Draw and label the horizontal axis as tt and the vertical axis as yy.
  • Draw a dashed line for the horizontal asymptote y=5y = 5.
  • Sketch a smooth curve starting from (0,0)(0,0), which is strictly increasing with a decreasing gradient (concave downwards), approaching the asymptote y=5y = 5 from below.
答案

A smooth, strictly increasing and concave-down curve starting at the origin (0,0)(0, 0) and approaching a horizontal asymptote at y=5y = 5 in the first quadrant.

11(iii)

1. Integrate the given differential equation to find the general form of $y$ in terms of $t$.

d2ydt2=−0.1\frac{\mathrm{d}^2 y}{\mathrm{d}t^2} = -0.1

Integrating with respect to tt:
dydt=−0.1t+c\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}t} = -0.1t + c

Integrating again:
y=−0.05t2+ct+dy = -0.05t^2 + ct + d

2. Substitute the given boundary conditions to find the constants of integration $c$ and $d$.

At the end of the 6th year (t=6t = 6), y=1.8y = 1.8:
1.8=−0.05(6)2+6c+d1.8 = -0.05(6)^2 + 6c + d
1.8=−1.8+6c+d  ⟹  6c+d=3.6— (1)1.8 = -1.8 + 6c + d \implies 6c + d = 3.6 \quad \text{--- (1)}

At the end of the following year, which is the 7th year (t=7t = 7), y=1.65y = 1.65:
1.65=−0.05(7)2+7c+d1.65 = -0.05(7)^2 + 7c + d
1.65=−2.45+7c+d  ⟹  7c+d=4.1— (2)1.65 = -2.45 + 7c + d \implies 7c + d = 4.1 \quad \text{--- (2)}

Subtracting (1) from (2):
c=0.5c = 0.5

Substitute c=0.5c = 0.5 into (1):
6(0.5)+d=3.6  ⟹  3.0+d=3.6  ⟹  d=0.66(0.5) + d = 3.6 \implies 3.0 + d = 3.6 \implies d = 0.6

So, the number of customers in the new model is given by:
y=−0.05t2+0.5t+0.6y = -0.05t^2 + 0.5t + 0.6

3. Set up and solve an inequality to find the time $t$ when the business becomes unprofitable.

The business becomes unprofitable when the customer base drops below 1 million (y<1y < 1):
−0.05t2+0.5t+0.6<1-0.05t^2 + 0.5t + 0.6 < 1
−0.05t2+0.5t−0.4<0-0.05t^2 + 0.5t - 0.4 < 0

Dividing by −0.05-0.05 (which flips the inequality sign):
t2−10t+8>0t^2 - 10t + 8 > 0

Solving t2−10t+8=0t^2 - 10t + 8 = 0 using the quadratic formula:
t=−(−10)±(−10)2−4(1)(8)2(1)t = \frac{-(-10) \pm \sqrt{(-10)^2 - 4(1)(8)}}{2(1)}
t=10±682=5±17t = \frac{10 \pm \sqrt{68}}{2} = 5 \pm \sqrt{17}

Since this model applies for t≥6t \ge 6, we take the relevant interval for the larger root:
t>5+17≈9.123t > 5 + \sqrt{17} \approx 9.123

Thus, the number of customers drops below 1 million for t>9.123t > 9.123.

4. Determine the specific year of operation from the calculated value of $t$.

The nn-th year of operation corresponds to the time interval n−1<t≤nn-1 < t \le n.
Since 9<9.123<109 < 9.123 < 10, the time t=9.123t = 9.123 occurs during the 10th year of operation. Consequently, the business becomes unprofitable in the 10th year.

答案

10th year

AI 分析,可能出错

用 AI 批改,圈出写错的那一步,并自动将你的薄弱点存入错题本,形成你的错因库。

同一知识点的其他题

  1. 1曲线上的点 (x,y)(x,y) 满足方程 x=12t2−2tx = \tfrac{1}{2}t^2 - 2t 和 dydx=12t−1\dfrac{dy}{dx} = \dfrac{1}{2t - 1} 其中 tt 为参数,t>2t > 2。 已知当 t=4t = 4…
  2. 2在一个大城镇中,首次发现某种病毒 tt 天后感染该病毒的人数为 xx。假设感染率与 xx 成正比。起初有 5 人感染该病毒,而在首次发现病毒 30 天后,有 5120 人感染该病毒。 在发现病毒 30 天后,人们发现了该病毒的治疗方法…
  3. 3考虑二阶微分方程 d2xdt2+adxdt=b,\frac{d^{2}x}{dt^{2}} + a\frac{dx}{dt} = b, where aa and bb are non-zero constants and dxdt≠ba\frac{dx}{dt} \ne \dfrac{b}{a}…
  4. 4一杯刚泡好的茶,初始温度为 85∘C85^\circ\text{C},被放在一间室温为 25∘C25^\circ\text{C} 的房间里冷却。20分钟后,茶的温度为 55∘C55^\circ\text{C}。已知茶温的变化率与茶温与室温之差成正比。…
  5. 5在一个大城镇中,在首次发现某种病毒 tt 天后,感染该病毒的人数为 xx。假设感染率与 xx 成正比。起初有 5 人感染该病毒,在首次发现该病毒 30 天后,有 5120 人感染。 证明 x=5(2)t3x = 5(2)^{\frac{t}{3}}…