11(i)
1. Formulate a differential equation representing the proportional rate of infection.
The rate of infection is given by dtdx. Since it is proportional to x:
dtdx=kx
where k is a constant.
2. Solve the separable differential equation to find $x$ in terms of $t$.
∫x1dx=∫kdt
ln∣x∣=kt+C
Since the number of infected people x≥5>0, we can drop the absolute value:
lnx=kt+C
x=ekt+C=Aekt
where A=eC.
3. Apply the initial condition to find the constant $A$.
Initially, there are 5 people infected, so when t=0, x=5.
5=Aek(0)⟹A=5
So, the equation becomes:
x=5ekt
4. Apply the second condition to evaluate the exponential term.
After 30 days, 5120 people are infected, so when t=30, x=5120.
5120=5e30k
e30k=55120
e30k=1024
5. Manipulate logarithms and indices to express $x$ in the required form.
Recognising that 1024=210:
e30k=210
Taking the natural logarithm on both sides:
30k=ln(210)=10ln2
k=3010ln2=31ln2
Substitute k back into the expression for x:
x=5e(31ln2)t
x=5(eln2)3t
x=5(2)3t (Shown)
答案x = 5(2)^{\frac{t}{3}} \text{ (Shown)}
11(ii)
1. Formulate the differential equation and separate the variables.
dpdy=k(6400y−y2)
dpdy=ky(6400−y)
∫y(6400−y)1dy=∫kdp
2. Use partial fractions to integrate the rational expression.
Let y(6400−y)1=yA+6400−yB
1=A(6400−y)+By
Substituting y=0⟹A=64001
Substituting y=6400⟹B=64001
64001∫(y1+6400−y1)dy=∫kdp
64001(lny−ln(6400−y))=kp+c
ln(6400−yy)=6400kp+6400c
Let M=6400k and C=6400c.
ln(6400−yy)=Mp+C
3. Determine the constant of integration using the initial condition.
At p=0, the number of infected people y is the number of people infected 30 days after the virus was originally discovered. From the stem, y=5120.
ln(6400−51205120)=M(0)+C
ln(12805120)=C⟹C=ln4
ln(6400−yy)=Mp+ln4
4. Use the condition at $p=30$ to find the proportionality constant and convert the relationship to exponential form.
Given at p=30, y=3200:
ln(6400−32003200)=30M+ln4
ln(1)=30M+ln4⟹0=30M+ln4⟹M=−30ln4
Substitute M back into the equation:
ln(6400−yy)=−(30ln4)p+ln4
6400−yy=eln4−30pln4=eln4⋅(eln4)−30p
6400−yy=4⋅4−30p=22⋅(22)−30p=22−15p
5. Rearrange to make $y$ the subject and deduce the value of $H$.
y=(6400−y)22−15p
y=6400(22−15p)−y(22−15p)
y(1+22−15p)=6400(22−15p)
y=1+22−15p6400(22−15p)
Divide numerator and denominator by 22−15p:
y=22−15p1+16400=1+215p−26400
Comparing with y=1+2(15p+H)6400, we get H=−2.
答案y=1+2(15p−2)6400, so H=−2
11(iii)
1. Evaluate the long-term number of infected people by taking the limit as $p \to \infty$.
From part (ii), the solution with the determined constant H=−2 is y=1+2(15p−2)6400.
In the long term, p→∞.
As p→∞, the exponent (15p−2)→∞, which means 2(15p−2)→∞.
Therefore, the denominator becomes infinitely large:
1+2(15p−2)→∞
Hence, y→0.
The number of people infected in the long term is 0.
2. Comment on the effectiveness of the cure and vaccine based on the mathematical result.
Since the number of infected people eventually reaches 0, the virus will be completely eradicated.
This implies that the cure and vaccine administered are highly effective.
答案The number of people infected in the long term is 0.
The cure and vaccine are highly effective as the virus will eventually be completely eradicated.