根据长期观察,格里夫斯初级学院(GJC)男生完成 2.4 公里跑步的平均时间已知为 11.3 分钟,标准差为 2.2 分钟。作为对当前体能训练计划评估的一部分,GJC 的体育(PE)部门决定在 2.5% 的显著性水平下测试 GJC 男生完成 2.4 公里跑步的平均时间是否发生改变。从 GJC 随机抽取的 8 名 Year 5 男生完成 2.4 公里跑步所需的时间 xx(分钟)如下。 1111.510.811.211.41111.812.5\begin{matrix} 11 & 11.5 & 10.8 & 11.2 & 11.4 & 11 & 11.8 & 12.5 \end{matrix}

  1. (a)

    写出该检验的原假设和备择假设,并定义你所使用的任何符号。

  2. (b)

    陈述一个必要的假设,并求该检验的拒绝域。由此在问题的背景下说明该检验的结论。

  3. (c)

    GJC 的体育部门还进行了第二次检验,在 3% 的显著性水平下,确定 GJC 女生完成 2.4 公里跑步的平均时间是否少于 14.5 分钟。从 GJC 抽取了包含 nn 名女生的随机大样本(nn 较大)。该样本完成 2.4 公里跑步时间的均值 and 标准差分别求得为 14.2 分钟和 1.5 分钟。

    已知体育部门得出结论,女生完成 2.4 公里跑步的平均时间少于 14.5 分钟,求 nn 可取值的范围。

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完整解法

9(a)

1. State the null and alternative hypotheses

H0:μ=11.3H_0: \mu = 11.3
H1:μ≠11.3H_1: \mu \neq 11.3

2. Define the symbol used for the population mean

where μ\mu is the population mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run.

答案

H0:μ=11.3H_0: \mu = 11.3
H1:μ≠11.3H_1: \mu \neq 11.3
where μ\mu is the population mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run.

9(b)

1. State the necessary assumption for the hypothesis test.

Since the sample size is small (n=8<30n = 8 < 30), the Central Limit Theorem cannot be applied to approximate the distribution of the sample mean. Therefore, we must assume that the population follows a normal distribution.

Assumption: The time taken by a male student in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run follows a normal distribution.

2. Find the critical region for the test in terms of the sample mean, $\bar{x}$.

The test is two-tailed (testing whether the mean time has changed) at the 2.5%2.5\% level of significance, so the probability in each tail is 0.0252=0.0125\frac{0.025}{2} = 0.0125.

Under H0H_0, the sample mean Xˉ∼N(11.3,2.228)\bar{X} \sim \text{N}\left(11.3, \frac{2.2^2}{8}\right).

The critical values c1c_1 and c2c_2 are such that P(Xˉ≤c1)=0.0125\mathrm{P}(\bar{X} \le c_1) = 0.0125 and P(Xˉ≥c2)=0.0125\mathrm{P}(\bar{X} \ge c_2) = 0.0125.
Using the inverse normal function on a graphing calculator:
c1≈9.5566c_1 \approx 9.5566
c2≈13.0434c_2 \approx 13.0434

The critical region is xˉ≤9.56\bar{x} \le 9.56 or xˉ≥13.0\bar{x} \ge 13.0 (to 3 s.f.).

3. Calculate the sample mean from the given data.

From the given sample of 8 students, we compute the sample mean xˉ\bar{x}:
xˉ=11+11.5+10.8+11.2+11.4+11+11.8+12.58\bar{x} = \frac{11 + 11.5 + 10.8 + 11.2 + 11.4 + 11 + 11.8 + 12.5}{8}
xˉ=91.28=11.4\bar{x} = \frac{91.2}{8} = 11.4

4. State the conclusion of the test in the context of the question.

Since xˉ=11.4\bar{x} = 11.4 does not lie in the critical region (9.5566<11.4<13.04349.5566 < 11.4 < 13.0434), we do not reject H0H_0.

There is insufficient evidence at the 2.5%2.5\% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed.

答案

Assumption: The time taken by a male student in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run follows a normal distribution.

Critical region: xˉ≤9.56\bar{x} \le 9.56 or xˉ≥13.0\bar{x} \ge 13.0

Conclusion: Do not reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 2.5%2.5\% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed.

9(c)

1. State the null and alternative hypotheses

Let μ\mu be the population mean time taken by female students to complete a 2.4 km run.
H0:μ=14.5H_0: \mu = 14.5
H1:μ<14.5H_1: \mu < 14.5

2. Determine the unbiased estimate of population variance and standard error

The standard deviation of the sample is given as 1.51.5, meaning the sample variance is 1.521.5^2.
The unbiased estimate of the population variance is:
s2=nn−1(1.52)s^2 = \frac{n}{n-1}(1.5^2)
Thus, the variance of the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} is s2n=1.52n−1\frac{s^2}{n} = \frac{1.5^2}{n-1}, and the standard error of the mean is 1.5n−1\frac{1.5}{\sqrt{n-1}}.

3. Set up the inequality for the test statistic using the critical value

Under H0H_0, since nn is large, the Central Limit Theorem applies and the test statistic is Z=Xˉ−μ1.5n−1∼N(0,1)Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\frac{1.5}{\sqrt{n-1}}} \sim N(0, 1).
For a left-tailed test at the 3% level of significance, the critical value is z=invNorm(0.03)≈−1.8808z = \text{invNorm}(0.03) \approx -1.8808.
Since H0H_0 is rejected (the department concludes μ<14.5\mu < 14.5), the calculated test statistic must fall within the critical region:
14.2−14.51.5n−1<−1.8808\frac{14.2 - 14.5}{\frac{1.5}{\sqrt{n-1}}} < -1.8808

4. Solve the inequality for $n$

−0.31.5n−1<−1.8808\frac{-0.3}{1.5} \sqrt{n-1} < -1.8808
−0.2n−1<−1.8808-0.2 \sqrt{n-1} < -1.8808
n−1>9.404\sqrt{n-1} > 9.404
n−1>88.435n - 1 > 88.435
n>89.435n > 89.435
Since the sample size nn must be an integer, n≥90n \ge 90.

答案

n≥90n \ge 90

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