Based on observations over a long period, the mean time taken by male students in Griffles Junior College (GJC) to complete a 2.4 km run is known to be 11.3 minutes with a standard deviation of 2.2 minutes. As part of a review of the current physical training programme, the Physical Education (PE) department in GJC decided to test, at the 2.5% level of significance, whether the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed. The time taken, minutes, by a random sample of 8 Year 5 male students from GJC to complete a 2.4 km run, are as follows.
- (a)
Write down the null and alternative hypotheses for this test, defining any symbols you use.
- (b)
Stating a necessary assumption, find the critical region for this test. Hence state the conclusion of the test in the context of the question.
- (c)
The PE department in GJC also conducted a second test, at the 3% level of significance, to determine whether the mean time taken by female students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run is less than 14.5 minutes. A random sample of female students from GJC is taken, where is large. The mean and standard deviation of the time taken by this sample to complete a 2.4 km run are found to be 14.2 minutes and 1.5 minutes respectively.
Given that the PE department concludes that the mean time taken by female students to complete a 2.4 km run is less than 14.5 minutes, find the range of values that can take.
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Worked solution
9(a)
1. State the null and alternative hypotheses
2. Define the symbol used for the population mean
where is the population mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run.
where is the population mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run.
9(b)
1. State the necessary assumption for the hypothesis test.
Since the sample size is small (), the Central Limit Theorem cannot be applied to approximate the distribution of the sample mean. Therefore, we must assume that the population follows a normal distribution.
Assumption: The time taken by a male student in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run follows a normal distribution.
2. Find the critical region for the test in terms of the sample mean, $\bar{x}$.
The test is two-tailed (testing whether the mean time has changed) at the level of significance, so the probability in each tail is .
Under , the sample mean .
The critical values and are such that and .
Using the inverse normal function on a graphing calculator:
The critical region is or (to 3 s.f.).
3. Calculate the sample mean from the given data.
From the given sample of 8 students, we compute the sample mean :
4. State the conclusion of the test in the context of the question.
Since does not lie in the critical region (), we do not reject .
There is insufficient evidence at the level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed.
Assumption: The time taken by a male student in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run follows a normal distribution.
Critical region: or
Conclusion: Do not reject . There is insufficient evidence at the level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed.
9(c)
1. State the null and alternative hypotheses
Let be the population mean time taken by female students to complete a 2.4 km run.
2. Determine the unbiased estimate of population variance and standard error
The standard deviation of the sample is given as , meaning the sample variance is .
The unbiased estimate of the population variance is:
Thus, the variance of the sample mean is , and the standard error of the mean is .
3. Set up the inequality for the test statistic using the critical value
Under , since is large, the Central Limit Theorem applies and the test statistic is .
For a left-tailed test at the 3% level of significance, the critical value is .
Since is rejected (the department concludes ), the calculated test statistic must fall within the critical region:
4. Solve the inequality for $n$
Since the sample size must be an integer, .
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