Based on observations over a long period, the mean time taken by male students in Griffles Junior College (GJC) to complete a 2.4 km run is known to be 11.3 minutes with a standard deviation of 2.2 minutes. As part of a review of the current physical training programme, the Physical Education (PE) department in GJC decided to test, at the 2.5% level of significance, whether the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed. The time taken, xx minutes, by a random sample of 8 Year 5 male students from GJC to complete a 2.4 km run, are as follows. 1111.510.811.211.41111.812.5\begin{matrix} 11 & 11.5 & 10.8 & 11.2 & 11.4 & 11 & 11.8 & 12.5 \end{matrix}

  1. (a)

    Write down the null and alternative hypotheses for this test, defining any symbols you use.

  2. (b)

    Stating a necessary assumption, find the critical region for this test. Hence state the conclusion of the test in the context of the question.

  3. (c)

    The PE department in GJC also conducted a second test, at the 3% level of significance, to determine whether the mean time taken by female students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run is less than 14.5 minutes. A random sample of nn female students from GJC is taken, where nn is large. The mean and standard deviation of the time taken by this sample to complete a 2.4 km run are found to be 14.2 minutes and 1.5 minutes respectively.

    Given that the PE department concludes that the mean time taken by female students to complete a 2.4 km run is less than 14.5 minutes, find the range of values that nn can take.

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Worked solution

9(a)

1. State the null and alternative hypotheses

H0:μ=11.3H_0: \mu = 11.3
H1:μ≠11.3H_1: \mu \neq 11.3

2. Define the symbol used for the population mean

where μ\mu is the population mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run.

Answer

H0:μ=11.3H_0: \mu = 11.3
H1:μ≠11.3H_1: \mu \neq 11.3
where μ\mu is the population mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run.

9(b)

1. State the necessary assumption for the hypothesis test.

Since the sample size is small (n=8<30n = 8 < 30), the Central Limit Theorem cannot be applied to approximate the distribution of the sample mean. Therefore, we must assume that the population follows a normal distribution.

Assumption: The time taken by a male student in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run follows a normal distribution.

2. Find the critical region for the test in terms of the sample mean, $\bar{x}$.

The test is two-tailed (testing whether the mean time has changed) at the 2.5%2.5\% level of significance, so the probability in each tail is 0.0252=0.0125\frac{0.025}{2} = 0.0125.

Under H0H_0, the sample mean Xˉ∼N(11.3,2.228)\bar{X} \sim \text{N}\left(11.3, \frac{2.2^2}{8}\right).

The critical values c1c_1 and c2c_2 are such that P(Xˉ≤c1)=0.0125\mathrm{P}(\bar{X} \le c_1) = 0.0125 and P(Xˉ≥c2)=0.0125\mathrm{P}(\bar{X} \ge c_2) = 0.0125.
Using the inverse normal function on a graphing calculator:
c1≈9.5566c_1 \approx 9.5566
c2≈13.0434c_2 \approx 13.0434

The critical region is xˉ≤9.56\bar{x} \le 9.56 or xˉ≥13.0\bar{x} \ge 13.0 (to 3 s.f.).

3. Calculate the sample mean from the given data.

From the given sample of 8 students, we compute the sample mean xˉ\bar{x}:
xˉ=11+11.5+10.8+11.2+11.4+11+11.8+12.58\bar{x} = \frac{11 + 11.5 + 10.8 + 11.2 + 11.4 + 11 + 11.8 + 12.5}{8}
xˉ=91.28=11.4\bar{x} = \frac{91.2}{8} = 11.4

4. State the conclusion of the test in the context of the question.

Since xˉ=11.4\bar{x} = 11.4 does not lie in the critical region (9.5566<11.4<13.04349.5566 < 11.4 < 13.0434), we do not reject H0H_0.

There is insufficient evidence at the 2.5%2.5\% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed.

Answer

Assumption: The time taken by a male student in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run follows a normal distribution.

Critical region: xˉ≤9.56\bar{x} \le 9.56 or xˉ≥13.0\bar{x} \ge 13.0

Conclusion: Do not reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 2.5%2.5\% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken by male students in GJC to complete a 2.4 km run has changed.

9(c)

1. State the null and alternative hypotheses

Let μ\mu be the population mean time taken by female students to complete a 2.4 km run.
H0:μ=14.5H_0: \mu = 14.5
H1:μ<14.5H_1: \mu < 14.5

2. Determine the unbiased estimate of population variance and standard error

The standard deviation of the sample is given as 1.51.5, meaning the sample variance is 1.521.5^2.
The unbiased estimate of the population variance is:
s2=nn−1(1.52)s^2 = \frac{n}{n-1}(1.5^2)
Thus, the variance of the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} is s2n=1.52n−1\frac{s^2}{n} = \frac{1.5^2}{n-1}, and the standard error of the mean is 1.5n−1\frac{1.5}{\sqrt{n-1}}.

3. Set up the inequality for the test statistic using the critical value

Under H0H_0, since nn is large, the Central Limit Theorem applies and the test statistic is Z=Xˉ−μ1.5n−1∼N(0,1)Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\frac{1.5}{\sqrt{n-1}}} \sim N(0, 1).
For a left-tailed test at the 3% level of significance, the critical value is z=invNorm(0.03)≈−1.8808z = \text{invNorm}(0.03) \approx -1.8808.
Since H0H_0 is rejected (the department concludes μ<14.5\mu < 14.5), the calculated test statistic must fall within the critical region:
14.2−14.51.5n−1<−1.8808\frac{14.2 - 14.5}{\frac{1.5}{\sqrt{n-1}}} < -1.8808

4. Solve the inequality for $n$

−0.31.5n−1<−1.8808\frac{-0.3}{1.5} \sqrt{n-1} < -1.8808
−0.2n−1<−1.8808-0.2 \sqrt{n-1} < -1.8808
n−1>9.404\sqrt{n-1} > 9.404
n−1>88.435n - 1 > 88.435
n>89.435n > 89.435
Since the sample size nn must be an integer, n≥90n \ge 90.

Answer

n≥90n \ge 90

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