从 18 岁年轻男性的总体中随机抽取了 27 个个体,测量了每个个体的右脚长度,精确到厘米。数据如以下表格所示。

  1. 使用此数据,在 2% 的显著性水平下检验 18 岁男性的平均脚长是否大于 27 cm,并说明你做出的任何假设。

  2. 从 18 岁年轻女性总体中随机抽取了 60 个个体,其脚长的摘要数据为 x‾=26.6\overline{x}=26.6 且 ∑(x−x‾)2=123.20\sum (x-\overline{x})^{2}=123.20。18 岁女性的平均脚长声称为 kk。已知此声称在 4% 的显著性水平下被拒绝,求 kk 的取值范围。

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完整解法

11[0]

1. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Let μ\mu be the population mean foot length of an 18 year old man.
H0:μ=27H_0: \mu = 27
H1:μ>27H_1: \mu > 27

2. Calculate the sample mean and the unbiased estimate of the population variance.

From the frequency table, n=27n = 27.
∑x=24(1)+25(2)+26(3)+27(9)+28(6)+29(5)+30(1)=738\sum x = 24(1) + 25(2) + 26(3) + 27(9) + 28(6) + 29(5) + 30(1) = 738
∑x2=242(1)+252(2)+262(3)+272(9)+282(6)+292(5)+302(1)=20224\sum x^2 = 24^2(1) + 25^2(2) + 26^2(3) + 27^2(9) + 28^2(6) + 29^2(5) + 30^2(1) = 20224

Sample mean, xˉ=73827=823≈27.333\bar{x} = \frac{738}{27} = \frac{82}{3} \approx 27.333

Unbiased estimate of population variance, s2=1n−1(∑x2−(∑x)2n)s^2 = \frac{1}{n-1}\left(\sum x^2 - \frac{(\sum x)^2}{n}\right)
s2=126(20224−738227)=126(20224−20172)=5226=2s^2 = \frac{1}{26}\left(20224 - \frac{738^2}{27}\right) = \frac{1}{26}(20224 - 20172) = \frac{52}{26} = 2

3. State the necessary assumptions for the hypothesis test.

Since the sample size n=27n = 27 is small (n<30n < 30), we must assume that the population of foot lengths of 18 year old men is normally distributed.
(Additionally, we assume the unknown population variance σ2\sigma^2 is approximately equal to the sample variance s2=2s^2 = 2).

4. Calculate the test statistic and $p$-value using a graphing calculator.

Under H0H_0, the test statistic is Z=Xˉ−μs/n∼N(0,1)Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}} \sim N(0,1) approximately.
Using a graphing calculator (Z-Test):
z≈1.22z \approx 1.22
p-value=P(Z>1.2247)≈0.110p\text{-value} = P(Z > 1.2247) \approx 0.110

5. State the conclusion of the test in the context of the question.

Since p-value=0.110>0.02p\text{-value} = 0.110 > 0.02, we do not reject H0H_0.
There is insufficient evidence at the 2%2\% level of significance to conclude that the mean foot length of an 18 year old man is more than 27 cm27\text{ cm}.

答案

Do not reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 2% level of significance to conclude that the mean foot length of an 18 year old man is more than 27 cm27\text{ cm}.

11[1]

1. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance, $s^2$.

s2=1n−1∑(x−x‾)2=160−1(123.20)=123.2059=616295≈2.0881s^2 = \frac{1}{n-1}\sum (x-\overline{x})^2 = \frac{1}{60-1}(123.20) = \frac{123.20}{59} = \frac{616}{295} \approx 2.0881

2. State the hypotheses and determine the test statistic.

Let μ\mu be the population mean foot length of an 18-year-old woman.
H0:μ=kH_0: \mu = k
H1:μ≠kH_1: \mu \neq k
Since n=60≥30n = 60 \ge 30, by the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean X‾\overline{X} is approximately normally distributed. Under H0H_0, the test statistic is:
Z=X‾−ks/n∼N(0,1) approximately.Z = \frac{\overline{X} - k}{s/\sqrt{n}} \sim N(0,1) \text{ approximately.}

3. Identify the critical region for a 4% level of significance.

For a two-tailed test at the 4% level of significance, the critical regions are Z<−z0.02Z < -z_{0.02} or Z>z0.02Z > z_{0.02}.
From the standard normal distribution, z0.02≈2.0537z_{0.02} \approx 2.0537.
Thus, we reject H0H_0 if ∣Z∣>2.0537|Z| > 2.0537.

4. Formulate the inequality and solve for the range of values for $k$.

∣26.6−k616295×60∣>2.0537\left| \frac{26.6 - k}{\sqrt{\frac{616}{295 \times 60}}} \right| > 2.0537
∣26.6−k∣0.18655>2.0537\frac{|26.6 - k|}{0.18655} > 2.0537
∣26.6−k∣>0.3831|26.6 - k| > 0.3831
This gives 26.6−k>0.383126.6 - k > 0.3831 or 26.6−k<−0.383126.6 - k < -0.3831.
k<26.2169ork>26.9831k < 26.2169 \quad \text{or} \quad k > 26.9831
Rounding to 3 significant figures, k<26.2k < 26.2 or k>27.0k > 27.0.

答案

k<26.2k < 26.2 or k>27.0k > 27.0 (to 3 s.f.)

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