In this question you should state the parameters of any distributions you use. An orchard sells kiwis of two varieties, Type A and Type B. The masses, in grams, of Type A and Type B kiwis follow the distributions and respectively. It is assumed that these two distributions are independent. Kiwis are selected randomly and packed into bags. Type A kiwis are packed in bags of 30, while Type B kiwis are packed in bags of 60. The selling prices of Type A and Type B kiwis are $25 per kilogram and $15 per kilogram respectively. The orchard also produces genetically modified Type G kiwis, which are packed in bags of 50. The masses of Type G kiwis are identically distributed with a mean of 90 grams and a standard deviation of 5 grams. Each Assortment Box contains one bag of Type A kiwis and one bag of Type G kiwis. A box is fit for sale if the total mass of the kiwis in the box is at least 7.85 kilograms.
- (a)
In a randomly chosen bag of Type A kiwis, find the probability that the mean mass of kiwis is between 109 grams and 115 grams.
- (b)
Find the probability that the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type A kiwis is more than the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type B kiwis by at most $1.50.
- (c)
Ten Assortment Boxes are selected at random. Find the probability that none of the boxes are fit for sale.
- (d)
State, in context, the approximation(s) and assumption(s) needed for the distribution(s) used in part (c).
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Worked solution
10(a)
1. State the distribution of the sample mean mass of Type A kiwis.
Let be the sample mean mass of 30 Type A kiwis.
Since the mass of a Type A kiwi follows ,
2. Calculate the probability that the sample mean is between 109 and 115 grams.
Using a graphing calculator,
0.819
10(b)
1. Define the random variables for the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type A and Type B kiwis.
Let and be the sample mean masses of kiwis in a bag of Type A () and Type B () respectively.
Let and be the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type A and Type B kiwis.
The selling prices per gram are for Type A and for Type B.
Therefore, and .
2. Find the expectation and variance for the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type A.
3. Find the expectation and variance for the average selling price of a kiwi from a bag of Type B.
4. Define the distribution for the difference in average selling prices and calculate the required probability.
Let .
We require the probability that is more than by at most , which means .
(to 3 s.f.)
10(c)
1. Find the distribution, mean, and variance of the total mass of an Assortment Box
Let be the total mass of the kiwis in an Assortment Box, consisting of 30 Type A kiwis and 50 Type G kiwis.
Since the sample size of Type G kiwis () is large, by the Central Limit Theorem, their total mass follows an approximate normal distribution. Thus, the total mass is approximately normally distributed:
2. Calculate the probability that a single Assortment Box is fit for sale
A box is fit for sale if its total mass is at least .
Using the normal distribution :
3. Model the number of fit boxes with a binomial distribution and calculate the final probability
Let be the number of Assortment Boxes fit for sale out of 10 randomly selected boxes.
We require the probability that none of the boxes are fit for sale ():
0.197
10(d)
1. State the approximation needed for the distribution of the mass of Type G kiwis.
Approximation: The distribution of the masses of Type G kiwis is not given. However, since the sample size of Type G kiwis in a bag is sufficiently large (), we use the Central Limit Theorem to approximate the total mass of the Type G kiwis as being normally distributed.
2. State the assumption needed regarding the relationship between the masses of the kiwis.
Assumption: The question states that the masses of Type G kiwis are 'identically distributed' but does not explicitly state they are independent. We must assume that the mass of any Type G kiwi is independent of the mass of other Type G kiwis so that we can sum their variances and apply the Central Limit Theorem.
(Another valid assumption: The total mass of the bag of Type A kiwis is independent of the total mass of the bag of Type G kiwis in the same Assortment Box).
Approximation: Since the sample size of is large (), by the Central Limit Theorem, the total mass of the Type G kiwis is approximately normally distributed.
Assumption: The mass of any Type G kiwi is independent of the mass of any other Type G kiwi. (Alternatively: The masses of the Type A kiwis and Type G kiwis are independent of one another.)
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