During training, the time in seconds for a soldier to dismantle a certain type of equipment is a normally distributed continuous random variable . The standard deviation of is 3.5 and the expected value of is 35.1. After a new set of instructional material is introduced, soldiers are selected at random and the mean time taken for this sample of soldiers to dismantle the equipment is found to be seconds. A test is carried out, at 5% significance level, to determine whether the mean time taken to dismantle the equipment has been reduced.
- (i)
State the appropriate hypothesis for the test.
- (ii)
Given that , find the set of values of for which the result of the test would be to reject the null hypothesis.
- (iii)
Given instead that and the result of the test is that the null hypothesis is not rejected. Find the largest possible value of .
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Worked solution
9(i)
1. State the null and alternative hypotheses, defining the population mean $\mu$.
Let be the population mean time taken for a soldier to dismantle the equipment.
where is the population mean time taken for a soldier to dismantle the equipment.
9(ii)
1. State the distribution of the sample mean under the null hypothesis and identify the rejection criterion.
Under , the population mean is . Since the population is normally distributed with known standard deviation , the sample mean for follows:
For a left-tailed test at the level of significance, we reject if the test statistic falls in the lower tail.
2. Standardise the sample mean and set up the inequality using the critical $z$-value.
The critical -value for a lower tail area of is .
Standardising the sample mean , the condition to reject is:
3. Solve the inequality to find the critical region for $\bar{t}$.
Solving for :
Rounding to 3 significant figures, we get .
9(iii)
1. Set up the inequality for the test statistic given that $H_0$ is not rejected.
The test statistic for the sample mean is .
For a 1-tailed test (testing for a reduction) at the 5% significance level, the critical value is .
Since is not rejected, the test statistic must fall outside the critical region, meaning :
2. Solve the inequality to find the range of possible values for $n$.
3. Identify the largest integer value for $n$.
Since the sample size must be an integer, the largest possible value is:
9
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