In this question you should clearly state the values of the appropriate parameters of any distributions used.
- ((a))
The diameters of footballs are normally distributed with mean 22.0 cm and standard deviation 0.3 cm, and the diameters of basketballs are normally distributed with mean cm and standard deviation 0.4 cm.
The probability that the diameter of a randomly chosen basketball is at least 10% larger than the diameter of a randomly chosen football is 0.35.
- ((i))
Show that .
- ((ii))
Draw a sketch to show the distribution of the diameter of a randomly chosen basketball, including the main features of the curve. On your sketch, shade the area representing the probability that a randomly chosen basketball has diameter between 22.8 cm and 25.2 cm.
- ((iii))
Find the probability that the difference between the average diameters of 10 randomly chosen footballs and the diameter of a randomly chosen basketball is less than 1.5 cm.
- ((i))
- ((b))
A computer game simulates how a basketball player scores by shooting the ball through an elevated hoop. The player aims by using the mouse to change the angle of the shot. The probability of a player scoring on his first attempt is and the probability of him scoring on his second attempt is .
- ((i))
Show that the probability of the player scoring on both attempts is at least .
- ((ii))
The probability of the player scoring on his first attempt but not on his second attempt is . Find the probability of the player scoring on both attempts. Are the events "player scores on his first attempt" and "player scores on his second attempt" independent? Justify your answer.
- ((i))
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Worked solution
10((a))((i))
1. Define the appropriate linear combination and find its mean and variance.
Let and be the diameters of a basketball and football respectively.
and .
Let .
2. Formulate the probability equation and use the inverse normal distribution.
Given , we have .
Standardising :
From the standard normal distribution (inverse normal):
3. Solve the equation for $\mu$.
10((a))((ii))
1. Identify the parameters of the normal curve and the significance of the boundary values.
Let the diameter of a basketball be . From part (a)(i), .
The curve is centered at the mean, .
The bounds for shading are and .
Notice that and , corresponding exactly to and .
2. Describe the features of the sketch and the shaded region.
To draw the sketch:
- Draw a symmetrical, bell-shaped curve above a horizontal axis.
- Mark the center of the peak on the axis as .
- Mark and symmetrically on the left and right of .
- Ensure the tails of the curve asymptotically approach the horizontal axis near and beyond these values.
- Shade the entire area under the curve between and .
A symmetrical bell-shaped curve with its peak at on the horizontal axis, asymptotes at both tails, and the region under the curve between and shaded.
10((a))((iii))
1. State the distributions of the sample mean of 10 footballs and the basketball diameter.
Let be the diameter of a football and be the diameter of a basketball.
From the given information and part (a)(i):
Let be the average diameter of 10 footballs.
2. Define the difference variable and find its distribution.
Let .
Since and are independent normal variables, we add their variances:
Therefore, .
3. Evaluate the probability that the absolute difference is less than 1.5 cm.
The difference between the diameters is less than , which means the absolute difference .
Using a graphing calculator:
10((b))((i))
1. Set up the inequality using the addition rule and the maximum value of the union of probabilities.
Let be the event of scoring on the first attempt and be the event of scoring on the second attempt.
Using the addition rule for probabilities:
Since the probability of any event cannot exceed 1, we know that .
Therefore, .
2. Substitute the given probabilities and simplify to show the required minimum value.
Rearranging the inequality gives:
Substituting the given values and :
Shown
10((b))((ii))
1. Find the probability of scoring on both attempts using the relationship between events.
Let be the event the player scores on the first attempt and be the event the player scores on the second attempt.
The probability of scoring on the first attempt but not on the second is .
We know that .
2. Check the condition for independence by comparing the product of individual probabilities with the probability of the intersection.
For events and to be independent, must equal .
Since , the events are independent.
Probability of scoring on both attempts is . Yes, the events are independent because .
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