is a normal random variable with mean 1 and variance 1, and is also a normal random variable with mean and variance 2.
- (a)
Given that , find the range of possible values of .
- (b)
Given instead that and the probability that the sum of independent observations of exceeds by at least 10 is less than 0.03, find the largest possible value of .
- (c)
State an assumption needed for the above calculations to be valid.
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Worked solution
7(a)
1. Find the distribution of the sum $X + Y$.
Assuming and are independent (as will be stated in part (c)),
Let , then .
2. Set up the inequality for the given probability.
We are given that , which means:
3. Solve the inequality for $\mu$ using a graphing calculator.
Using a graphing calculator to plot the probability function against , and the line .
Finding the points of intersection:
From the graph, the probability is strictly greater than when is between these two values.
7(b)
1. Formulate the normal distribution for the sum of $n$ independent observations of $X$.
Let .
Since each independently:
So .
2. Find the distribution of the difference between $W$ and $2Y$.
Given , let .
So .
3. Standardise the variable and set up an inequality using the given probability.
We are given , which means .
Standardising the normal variable:
From the standard normal distribution, if , then .
For the probability to be strictly less than , the -value must be strictly greater than this critical value:
4. Solve the inequality to find the largest possible integer value of $n$.
We can test values of or solve the equation algebraically.
If :
If :
Alternatively, solving the quadratic equation yields .
Since we need , we must have .
Thus, the largest possible integer is .
7(c)
1. State the assumption necessary for the calculation of the variance of linear combinations such as $X+Y$ and $\sum X_i - 2Y$.
and are independent.
and are independent.
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