In this question, you should state clearly all the distributions that you use, together with the values of the appropriate parameters. A toy designer creates weighted wooden blocks used in balance-based educational toys. There are two types of blocks: cylindrical blocks and cuboidal blocks. The mass, in grams, of each cylindrical block and cuboidal block follow a normal distribution with the following parameters:
MeanStandard Deviation
cylindrical block2806
cuboidal block2205
To build a deluxe seesaw model, the designer uses:
  • 2 cylindrical blocks,
  • 3 cuboidal blocks,
  • 7 screws,
  • 1 wooden plank.
The blocks are drilled before assembly to fit screws:
  • Each cylindrical block loses 5% of its mass after drilling.
  • Each cuboidal block loses 3% of its mass after drilling.
The masses of the remaining components follow a normal distribution with the following parameters:
MeanStandard Deviation
screw81.2
wooden plank5408
When assembling the deluxe seesaw model, all of its components are chosen at random.

  1. (a)

    Find the probability that the mass of a randomly selected cylindrical block exceeds the mass of a randomly selected cuboidal block by more than 65 grams.

  2. (b)

    The probability that the total of twice the mass of a cylindrical block and thrice the mass of a cuboidal block being less than MM g is 0.355. Find the value of MM, giving your answer to the nearest integer.

  3. (c)

    Find the probability that the total mass of all the modified components in a deluxe seesaw model is more than 1785 g.

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Worked solution

9(a)

1. Define the random variables and their initial distributions.

Let XX be the mass of a cylindrical block and YY be the mass of a cuboidal block.
X∼N(280,62)X \sim \mathrm{N}(280, 6^2)
Y∼N(220,52)Y \sim \mathrm{N}(220, 5^2)

2. Determine the expectation and variance of the difference $X - Y$.

E(X−Y)=E(X)−E(Y)=280−220=60\mathrm{E}(X - Y) = \mathrm{E}(X) - \mathrm{E}(Y) = 280 - 220 = 60
Var(X−Y)=Var(X)+Var(Y)=62+52=36+25=61\mathrm{Var}(X - Y) = \mathrm{Var}(X) + \mathrm{Var}(Y) = 6^2 + 5^2 = 36 + 25 = 61

3. State the distribution of $X - Y$ and calculate the required probability.

Since XX and YY are independent normal variables,
X−Y∼N(60,61)X - Y \sim \mathrm{N}(60, 61)
P(X−Y>65)≈0.26103≈0.261\mathrm{P}(X - Y > 65) \approx 0.26103 \approx 0.261 (to 3 s.f.)

Answer

0.2610.261

9(b)

1. Formulate the random variable for the linear combination and calculate its expected value.

Let XX be the mass of a cylindrical block and YY be the mass of a cuboidal block.
X∼N(280,62)X \sim \mathrm{N}(280, 6^2) and Y∼N(220,52)Y \sim \mathrm{N}(220, 5^2).
Let WW be the total of twice the mass of a cylindrical block and thrice the mass of a cuboidal block. Then W=2X+3YW = 2X + 3Y.
E(W)=2E(X)+3E(Y)\mathrm{E}(W) = 2\mathrm{E}(X) + 3\mathrm{E}(Y)
E(W)=2(280)+3(220)=1220\mathrm{E}(W) = 2(280) + 3(220) = 1220

2. Calculate the variance of the linear combination.

Since the masses of the blocks are randomly selected and thus independent, the variance of WW is:
Var(W)=22Var(X)+32Var(Y)\mathrm{Var}(W) = 2^2\mathrm{Var}(X) + 3^2\mathrm{Var}(Y)
Var(W)=4(62)+9(52)\mathrm{Var}(W) = 4(6^2) + 9(5^2)
Var(W)=144+225=369\mathrm{Var}(W) = 144 + 225 = 369

3. State the resulting normal distribution and use the inverse normal method to find $M$.

Since XX and YY are normally distributed, their linear combination is also normally distributed:
W∼N(1220,369)W \sim \mathrm{N}(1220, 369)
We are given P(W<M)=0.355\mathrm{P}(W < M) = 0.355.
Using the inverse normal function on a graphing calculator:
M=1212.8569…M = 1212.8569\dots
Rounding to the nearest integer:
M≈1213M \approx 1213

Answer

12131213

9(c)

1. Define the random variable for the total mass of the assembled seesaw model.

Let XX, YY, SS, and WW be the masses of a cylindrical block, cuboidal block, screw, and wooden plank respectively.
Let TT be the total mass of the deluxe seesaw model.
T=0.95X1+0.95X2+0.97Y1+0.97Y2+0.97Y3+S1+⋯+S7+WT = 0.95X_1 + 0.95X_2 + 0.97Y_1 + 0.97Y_2 + 0.97Y_3 + S_1 + \dots + S_7 + W

2. Calculate the expected value of $T$.

E(T)=2(0.95×280)+3(0.97×220)+7(8)+540\text{E}(T) = 2(0.95 \times 280) + 3(0.97 \times 220) + 7(8) + 540
=532+640.2+56+540= 532 + 640.2 + 56 + 540
=1768.2= 1768.2

3. Calculate the variance of $T$ and state its distribution.

Var(T)=2(0.952×62)+3(0.972×52)+7(1.22)+82\text{Var}(T) = 2(0.95^2 \times 6^2) + 3(0.97^2 \times 5^2) + 7(1.2^2) + 8^2
=2(0.9025×36)+3(0.9409×25)+7(1.44)+64= 2(0.9025 \times 36) + 3(0.9409 \times 25) + 7(1.44) + 64
=64.98+70.5675+10.08+64= 64.98 + 70.5675 + 10.08 + 64
=209.6275= 209.6275

Hence, T∼N(1768.2,209.6275)T \sim \text{N}(1768.2, 209.6275).

4. Calculate the probability that the total mass exceeds 1785 g.

P(T>1785)≈0.12297\text{P}(T > 1785) \approx 0.12297
≈0.123 (to 3 s.f.)\approx 0.123 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

Answer

0.1230.123

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