船只漏油对湖中的鱼群数量有重大影响。漏油发生 tt 天后鱼群的数量(以千为单位)记为 xx。统计数据表明,鱼群数量的增长速率与数量的平方成反比,而由于漏油导致的鱼类死亡速率与鱼群数量成正比。当 x=0.5x = 0.5 时,鱼群数量保持恒定。

  1. (i)

    证明 dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2,\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1-8x^3)}{x^2}, 其中 kk 是一个正常数。

  2. (ii)

    当漏油发生时,湖中有 3000 条鱼。漏油一天后,鱼群数量变为 2000。证明 1−8x3=−215(63215)t.1 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t. 求漏油后第三天湖中的鱼群数量,结果四舍五入到最接近的整数。

  3. (iii)

    说明并论证从长远来看,湖中鱼群的数量会发生什么变化。

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完整解法

9(i)

1. Formulate an initial differential equation using two proportional constants.

Let the population increase rate be Ax2\frac{A}{x^2} and the death rate be BxBx, where AA and BB are positive constants.

The overall rate of change of the population is:
dxdt=Ax2−Bx\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A}{x^2} - Bx

2. Use the condition for constant population to find the relationship between the two constants.

When x=0.5x = 0.5, the population is constant, which means dxdt=0\frac{dx}{dt} = 0.
Substitute x=0.5x = 0.5 and dxdt=0\frac{dx}{dt} = 0 into the equation:
0=A(0.5)2−B(0.5)0 = \frac{A}{(0.5)^2} - B(0.5)
0=A0.25−0.5B0 = \frac{A}{0.25} - 0.5B
0=4A−0.5B0 = 4A - 0.5B
0.5B=4A0.5B = 4A
B=8AB = 8A

3. Substitute the relationship back to obtain the final equation.

Substitute B=8AB = 8A back into the differential equation:
dxdt=Ax2−8Ax\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A}{x^2} - 8Ax
Combine the terms over a common denominator:
dxdt=A−8Ax3x2\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A - 8Ax^3}{x^2}
dxdt=A(1−8x3)x2\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A(1 - 8x^3)}{x^2}
By letting A=kA = k, where kk is a positive constant, we get:
dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2 (shown)\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1 - 8x^3)}{x^2} \text{ (shown)}

答案

dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2 (shown)\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1-8x^3)}{x^2} \text{ (shown)}

9(ii)

1. Separate the variables and integrate both sides of the differential equation.

dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1-8x^3)}{x^2}
∫x21−8x3 dx=∫k dt\int \frac{x^2}{1-8x^3} \, dx = \int k \, dt
−124ln⁡∣1−8x3∣=kt+C-\frac{1}{24}\ln|1-8x^3| = kt + C

2. Rearrange the equation into an exponential form.

ln⁡∣1−8x3∣=−24kt−24C\ln|1-8x^3| = -24kt - 24C
1−8x3=±e−24kt−24C1-8x^3 = \pm e^{-24kt - 24C}
1−8x3=A(e−24k)t1-8x^3 = A(e^{-24k})^t
(where A=±e−24CA = \pm e^{-24C})

3. Use the given conditions to find the constants and show the target equation.

When the oil spill occurred (t=0t = 0), population is 3000 (x=3x = 3):
1−8(3)3=A(e−24k)01 - 8(3)^3 = A(e^{-24k})^0
1−216=A  ⟹  A=−2151 - 216 = A \implies A = -215

One day after (t=1t = 1), population is 2000 (x=2x = 2):
1−8(2)3=−215(e−24k)11 - 8(2)^3 = -215(e^{-24k})^1
−63=−215(e−24k)  ⟹  e−24k=63215-63 = -215(e^{-24k}) \implies e^{-24k} = \frac{63}{215}

Substitute AA and e−24ke^{-24k} into the general equation:
1−8x3=−215(63215)t (Shown)1 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t \text{ (Shown)}

4. Calculate the number of fish on the third day.

Substitute t=3t = 3 into the equation:
1−8x3=−215(63215)31 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^3
1−8x3=−215(2500479938375)=−25004746225≈−5.409351 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{250047}{9938375}\right) = -\frac{250047}{46225} \approx -5.40935
8x3≈6.409358x^3 \approx 6.40935
x3≈0.80117x^3 \approx 0.80117
x≈0.92877x \approx 0.92877

Since xx is in thousands, the number of fish is:
0.92877×1000=928.770.92877 \times 1000 = 928.77
To the nearest integer, there are 929929 fish.

答案

1−8x3=−215(63215)t1 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t
Number of fish ≈929\approx 929

9(iii)

1. Evaluate the behaviour of the exponential term as $t$ approaches infinity.

As t→∞t \to \infty, since 0<63215<10 < \frac{63}{215} < 1, the term (63215)t→0\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t \to 0.

2. Solve for the limiting value of $x$ and interpret it in the context of the population.

Substitute the limit into the equation from (ii):
1−8x3=01 - 8x^3 = 0
8x3=1  ⟹  x3=18  ⟹  x=0.58x^3 = 1 \implies x^3 = \frac{1}{8} \implies x = 0.5
Since xx is measured in thousands, the population of fish will approach 0.5×1000=5000.5 \times 1000 = 500.

答案

As to∞t o \infty, the population of fish will eventually stabilise at 500.

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