Oil spill from a boat has a significant impact on the population of fish in a lake. The population (in thousands) tt days after an oil spill is denoted by xx. Statistics show that the population increases at a rate inversely proportional to the square of the population and that fish die, due to the oil spill, at a rate proportional to the population. When x=0.5x = 0.5, the number of fish remains constant.

  1. (i)

    Show that dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2,\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1-8x^3)}{x^2}, where kk is a positive constant.

  2. (ii)

    When the oil spill occurred, there were 3000 fish in the lake. One day after the oil spill, the population became 2000. Show that 1−8x3=−215(63215)t.1 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t. Find the number of fish on the third day after the oil spill, giving your answer to the nearest integer.

  3. (iii)

    Explain, with justification, what will happen to the population of fish in the lake in the long run.

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Worked solution

9(i)

1. Formulate an initial differential equation using two proportional constants.

Let the population increase rate be Ax2\frac{A}{x^2} and the death rate be BxBx, where AA and BB are positive constants.

The overall rate of change of the population is:
dxdt=Ax2−Bx\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A}{x^2} - Bx

2. Use the condition for constant population to find the relationship between the two constants.

When x=0.5x = 0.5, the population is constant, which means dxdt=0\frac{dx}{dt} = 0.
Substitute x=0.5x = 0.5 and dxdt=0\frac{dx}{dt} = 0 into the equation:
0=A(0.5)2−B(0.5)0 = \frac{A}{(0.5)^2} - B(0.5)
0=A0.25−0.5B0 = \frac{A}{0.25} - 0.5B
0=4A−0.5B0 = 4A - 0.5B
0.5B=4A0.5B = 4A
B=8AB = 8A

3. Substitute the relationship back to obtain the final equation.

Substitute B=8AB = 8A back into the differential equation:
dxdt=Ax2−8Ax\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A}{x^2} - 8Ax
Combine the terms over a common denominator:
dxdt=A−8Ax3x2\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A - 8Ax^3}{x^2}
dxdt=A(1−8x3)x2\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{A(1 - 8x^3)}{x^2}
By letting A=kA = k, where kk is a positive constant, we get:
dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2 (shown)\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1 - 8x^3)}{x^2} \text{ (shown)}

Answer

dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2 (shown)\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1-8x^3)}{x^2} \text{ (shown)}

9(ii)

1. Separate the variables and integrate both sides of the differential equation.

dxdt=k(1−8x3)x2\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{k(1-8x^3)}{x^2}
∫x21−8x3 dx=∫k dt\int \frac{x^2}{1-8x^3} \, dx = \int k \, dt
−124ln⁡∣1−8x3∣=kt+C-\frac{1}{24}\ln|1-8x^3| = kt + C

2. Rearrange the equation into an exponential form.

ln⁡∣1−8x3∣=−24kt−24C\ln|1-8x^3| = -24kt - 24C
1−8x3=±e−24kt−24C1-8x^3 = \pm e^{-24kt - 24C}
1−8x3=A(e−24k)t1-8x^3 = A(e^{-24k})^t
(where A=±e−24CA = \pm e^{-24C})

3. Use the given conditions to find the constants and show the target equation.

When the oil spill occurred (t=0t = 0), population is 3000 (x=3x = 3):
1−8(3)3=A(e−24k)01 - 8(3)^3 = A(e^{-24k})^0
1−216=A  ⟹  A=−2151 - 216 = A \implies A = -215

One day after (t=1t = 1), population is 2000 (x=2x = 2):
1−8(2)3=−215(e−24k)11 - 8(2)^3 = -215(e^{-24k})^1
−63=−215(e−24k)  ⟹  e−24k=63215-63 = -215(e^{-24k}) \implies e^{-24k} = \frac{63}{215}

Substitute AA and e−24ke^{-24k} into the general equation:
1−8x3=−215(63215)t (Shown)1 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t \text{ (Shown)}

4. Calculate the number of fish on the third day.

Substitute t=3t = 3 into the equation:
1−8x3=−215(63215)31 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^3
1−8x3=−215(2500479938375)=−25004746225≈−5.409351 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{250047}{9938375}\right) = -\frac{250047}{46225} \approx -5.40935
8x3≈6.409358x^3 \approx 6.40935
x3≈0.80117x^3 \approx 0.80117
x≈0.92877x \approx 0.92877

Since xx is in thousands, the number of fish is:
0.92877×1000=928.770.92877 \times 1000 = 928.77
To the nearest integer, there are 929929 fish.

Answer

1−8x3=−215(63215)t1 - 8x^3 = -215\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t
Number of fish ≈929\approx 929

9(iii)

1. Evaluate the behaviour of the exponential term as $t$ approaches infinity.

As t→∞t \to \infty, since 0<63215<10 < \frac{63}{215} < 1, the term (63215)t→0\left(\frac{63}{215}\right)^t \to 0.

2. Solve for the limiting value of $x$ and interpret it in the context of the population.

Substitute the limit into the equation from (ii):
1−8x3=01 - 8x^3 = 0
8x3=1  ⟹  x3=18  ⟹  x=0.58x^3 = 1 \implies x^3 = \frac{1}{8} \implies x = 0.5
Since xx is measured in thousands, the population of fish will approach 0.5×1000=5000.5 \times 1000 = 500.

Answer

As to∞t o \infty, the population of fish will eventually stabilise at 500.

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