一位教师顾老师怀疑,学生每天使用手机的平均时间为 分钟。他随机抽取了该校 97 名拥有手机的学生,并记录了每位学生在随机选择的一天中玩手机的时间。结果如下表所示。
每天所花时间(精确到分钟) 60 65 72 90 110 180 人数 11 20 32 18 10 6
| 每天所花时间(精确到分钟) | 60 | 65 | 72 | 90 | 110 | 180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 人数 | 11 | 20 | 32 | 18 | 10 | 6 |
- (i)
计算学生每天使用手机时间的总体均值和方差的无偏估计。
- (ii)
在 5% 的显著性水平下,对“学生每天使用手机的平均时间为 分钟”的原假设进行检验,备择假设为“学生每天使用手机的平均时间不等于 分钟”。
确定拒绝原假设时 的取值范围。
- (iii)
结合本题背景,解释“在 5% 的显著性水平下”的含义。
- (iv)
如果在 (ii) 中在 5% 的显著性水平下拒绝了原假设,那么我们是否可以在 1% 的显著性水平下拒绝该原假设?解释你的答案。
它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的
完整解法
8(i)
1. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population mean.
From the frequency table, we can compute the total number of students (), , and :
2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance.
Calculate the sum of squares, :
Unbiased estimate of mean minutes
Unbiased estimate of variance
8(ii)
1. Calculate the sample mean ($\bar{x}$) and unbiased estimate of the population variance ($s^2$) as required from part (i).
2. Formulate the test statistic and state the rejection criteria for a two-tailed test at the 5% significance level.
Since , by the Central Limit Theorem, is approximately normally distributed.
The standardized test statistic is:
For a two-tailed test at the 5% level of significance, the critical value is .
We reject if or .
3. Substitute the calculated values and solve the inequalities to find the range of $\mu_0$.
Therefore, to 3 significant figures, is rejected if or .
8(iii)
1. State the meaning of the level of significance (probability of making a Type I error) in the context of the problem.
The level of significance is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. In this context, it means there is a probability of incorrectly concluding that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day differs from minutes, when the average time is actually minutes.
There is a 5% probability of concluding that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day differs from minutes, when in fact it is exactly minutes.
8(iv)
1. Relate the rejection of the null hypothesis at the 5% level to the p-value.
Rejecting at the 5% significance level means that the -value is less than .
2. Compare with the condition required for the 1% level of significance and state the conclusion.
To reject at the 1% significance level, we would need the -value to be strictly less than . Because the -value could be in the range , we cannot conclude for certain that will be rejected at the 1% level.
Not necessarily. Rejecting at the 5% significance level implies that the -value . Since it is possible that , we cannot be certain that will be rejected at the 1% level of significance.
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