A teacher, Mr. Ku, suspects that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day is minutes. He selected a random sample of 97 students in the school who own mobile phones and recorded the amount of time each student spent on his or her phone in a randomly selected day. The results are displayed in the table below.
Time spent per day (to nearest minute) 60 65 72 90 110 180 Number of people 11 20 32 18 10 6
| Time spent per day (to nearest minute) | 60 | 65 | 72 | 90 | 110 | 180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of people | 11 | 20 | 32 | 18 | 10 | 6 |
- (i)
Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance of the time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day.
- (ii)
The null hypothesis that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day is minutes is tested, at 5% level of significance, against the alternative hypothesis that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day differs from minutes.
Determine the range of values of for which the null hypothesis is rejected.
- (iii)
Explain, in the context of this question, the meaning of 'at 5% level of significance'.
- (iv)
If the null hypothesis in (ii) is rejected at 5% significance level, can we reject the null hypothesis at 1% level of significance? Explain your answer.
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Worked solution
8(i)
1. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population mean.
From the frequency table, we can compute the total number of students (), , and :
2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance.
Calculate the sum of squares, :
Unbiased estimate of mean minutes
Unbiased estimate of variance
8(ii)
1. Calculate the sample mean ($\bar{x}$) and unbiased estimate of the population variance ($s^2$) as required from part (i).
2. Formulate the test statistic and state the rejection criteria for a two-tailed test at the 5% significance level.
Since , by the Central Limit Theorem, is approximately normally distributed.
The standardized test statistic is:
For a two-tailed test at the 5% level of significance, the critical value is .
We reject if or .
3. Substitute the calculated values and solve the inequalities to find the range of $\mu_0$.
Therefore, to 3 significant figures, is rejected if or .
8(iii)
1. State the meaning of the level of significance (probability of making a Type I error) in the context of the problem.
The level of significance is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. In this context, it means there is a probability of incorrectly concluding that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day differs from minutes, when the average time is actually minutes.
There is a 5% probability of concluding that the average time a student spends on his or her mobile phone per day differs from minutes, when in fact it is exactly minutes.
8(iv)
1. Relate the rejection of the null hypothesis at the 5% level to the p-value.
Rejecting at the 5% significance level means that the -value is less than .
2. Compare with the condition required for the 1% level of significance and state the conclusion.
To reject at the 1% significance level, we would need the -value to be strictly less than . Because the -value could be in the range , we cannot conclude for certain that will be rejected at the 1% level.
Not necessarily. Rejecting at the 5% significance level implies that the -value . Since it is possible that , we cannot be certain that will be rejected at the 1% level of significance.
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