约翰抛了五次硬币,连续五次正面朝上。这是否能断定这枚硬币是有偏的(不均匀的)?请清晰地解释你的答案。 从袋子 A 中随机抽取一张卡片,然后再从袋子 B 中随机抽取另一张卡片,组成一个两位数。袋子 A 包含三张标有 '1'、'2' 和 '3' 的卡片。袋子 B 包含三张标有 '4'、'5' 和 '7' 的卡片。例如,分别从袋子 A 和袋子 B 中抽取 '1' 和 '5' 将组成数字 '15'。 以最简分数形式,求组成的两位数是以下情况的概率: 完成下面的可能性图。 奇数, 答案 ... 完全平方数, 答案 ... 质数, 答案 ... 135 的因数。 答案 ...

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完整解法

13(b)

1. Recognise that five heads is possible for a fair coin

For a fair coin, getting heads on each flip is possible. In fact,
P(5 heads in 5 flips)=(12)5=132.P(\text{5 heads in 5 flips})=\left(\frac12\right)^5=\frac{1}{32}.

2. Conclude whether the observation proves bias

Since the probability is small but not zero, the result may happen by chance. Therefore it is not conclusive that the coin is biased.

答案

No. Five successive heads can occur by chance, even with a fair coin, so this result alone is not conclusive evidence that the coin is biased.

13(c)(i)

1. Use the card from Bag A as the tens digit and the card from Bag B as the units digit

For each outcome, the number formed is:
number=10×(Bag A digit)+(Bag B digit).\text{number}=10\times(\text{Bag A digit})+(\text{Bag B digit}).
For example, Bag A =2=2 and Bag B =4=4 gives 2424.

2. Complete every cell of the possibility diagram

Combine Bag A digits 1,2,31,2,3 with Bag B digits 4,5,74,5,7:

Bag B \ Bag A123
4142434
5152535
7172737
答案
Bag B \ Bag A123
4142434
5152535
7172737

13(c)(ii)

1. Count the favourable odd outcomes and divide by the total number of outcomes

From the possibility diagram, the possible numbers are
14,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,3714,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,37.

Odd numbers end in 55 or 77:
15,25,35,17,27,3715,25,35,17,27,37.

So there are 66 odd numbers out of 99 possible numbers.

P(odd)=69=23P(\text{odd})=\frac{6}{9}=\frac{2}{3}

答案

23\dfrac{2}{3}

13(c)(iii)

1. Count the favourable perfect-square outcome and divide by the total number of outcomes

From the possibility diagram, the possible numbers are
14,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,3714,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,37.

The only perfect square is 2525.

Total number of possible outcomes =9=9.

P(perfect square)=19P(\text{perfect square})=\frac{1}{9}

答案

19\dfrac{1}{9}

13(c)(iv)

1. Identify the prime outcomes and form the probability

The possible numbers are
14,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,3714,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,37.

The prime numbers are 1717 and 3737 only.

There are 99 equally likely outcomes, so
P(prime number)=29.P(\text{prime number})=\frac{2}{9}.

答案

13\dfrac{1}{3}

13(c)(v)

1. Identify the outcomes that are factors of 135

The possible numbers are
14,24,34,15,25,35,17,27,3714, 24, 34, 15, 25, 35, 17, 27, 37.

Since
135=1×135=3×45=5×27=9×15,135=1\times135=3\times45=5\times27=9\times15,
the factors of 135135 among the possible numbers are
15, 27, 45, 135,15,\ 27,\ 45,\ 135,
but only 1515 and 2727 are in the possibility diagram.

2. Form the probability and simplify the fraction

There are 99 equally likely outcomes in total.

Number of favourable outcomes =2=2.

P(factor of 135)=29P(\text{factor of }135)=\frac{2}{9}

答案

13\dfrac{1}{3}

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