EastHam 是一支处于竞争激烈联赛中的足球俱乐部。研究发现,EastHam 在比赛中打入首粒进球所需的平均时间为 50 分钟。教练试用了一种新的战术,并记录了本赛季随机抽取的 35 场比赛中,打入首粒进球所需的时间 分钟。结果显示,总用时为 1650 分钟,时间的方差为 250 minutes。 教练想要检验:随着新战术的实施,打入首粒进球的平均时间是否有所减少。
- (a)
解释为什么教练能够在不对进第一个球所用时间的分布做出任何假设的情况下进行假设检验。
- (b)
求总体均值和方差的无偏估计。结果保留三位小数。
- (c)
在 10% 的显著性水平下进行该检验。你应该陈述你的假设并定义你所使用的任何符号。
- (d)
同一联赛中另一家足球俱乐部 NewPalace 的一名球迷声称,NewPalace 在一场比赛中打入首个进球的平均时间为 40 分钟。可以假设 NewPalace 在一场比赛中打入首个进球的时间服从方差为 280 分钟 的正态分布。
抽取了一个由 50 场比赛组成的随机样本,并针对该球迷的说法是否成立进行了假设检验。求在 10% 的显著性水平下,导致该球迷的说法被拒绝的样本平均时间的取值范围。
它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的
完整解法
11(a)
1. State the condition and invoke the Central Limit Theorem.
Since the sample size is large (), by the Central Limit Theorem, the distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal regardless of the population's distribution.
Since the sample size is large (), by the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean time taken to score the first goal is approximately normally distributed.
11(b)
1. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population mean.
Unbiased estimate of population mean,
(to 3 d.p.)
2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance.
Unbiased estimate of population variance,
(to 3 d.p.)
Unbiased estimate of mean =
Unbiased estimate of variance =
11(c)
1. Define the necessary symbol and state the null and alternative hypotheses.
Let be the population mean time taken by EastHam to score their first goal.
2. State the test statistic distribution and calculate the $z$-statistic and $p$-value.
From part (b), the unbiased estimate of the sample mean is and the unbiased estimate of the population variance is .
Under , since the sample size is large (), the Central Limit Theorem applies and the test statistic is approximately standard normal:
Using a graphing calculator (1-tail Z-Test):
Test statistic,
(to 3 s.f.)
3. State the statistical conclusion and interpret it in the context of the problem.
Since , we do not reject .
There is insufficient evidence at the level of significance to conclude that the average time taken by EastHam to score their first goal has decreased.
Let be the population mean time taken by EastHam to score their first goal.
-value
Do not reject . There is insufficient evidence at the 10% level of significance to conclude that the average time taken to score the first goal has decreased.
11(d)
1. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Let be the population mean time taken by NewPalace to score the first goal.
The fan claims the average time is exactly minutes. Thus, this is a two-tailed test.
2. Identify the distribution of the sample mean under the null hypothesis.
Since the time taken is normally distributed with population variance , and the sample size is , the sample mean is normally distributed.
Under :
3. Calculate the critical boundaries for the test statistic.
For a level of significance in a two-tailed test, the critical regions are the lower and upper tails.
Using the standard normal distribution, the critical -values are .
To reject , the sample mean must fall in the critical regions:
4. Solve for the range of values of the sample mean.
Solving the inequalities yields:
Therefore, the fan's claim is rejected if or (correct to 3 significant figures).
AI 分析,可能出错
用 AI 批改,圈出写错的那一步,并自动将你的薄弱点存入错题本,形成你的错因库。
同一知识点的其他题
- 1一家面包店声称每个蛋糕的平均质量为 600 克。对 10 个蛋糕进行了随机抽样检验,并确定了每个蛋糕的质量 克。结果发现: …
- 2道格先生的工厂生产在当地超市销售的袋装面粉,包装分为两种规格——普通装和大装。自动机器进行称重和包装。最近一次严重的停电导致他所有的机器在重新启动时都需要重新校准。 普通装袋装面粉的平均质量应该是 1 kg。道格先生怀疑他的机器现在包装的普…
- 3S 大学的研究人员声称,真菌 A(一种通常存在于土壤和植物中的真菌菌株)能够在 90 天内降解经过紫外光或热预处理的聚丙烯(一种难以回收的塑料),降解量在每 100 克聚丙烯中至少达到 27 克。 M 大学的研究人员认为 S 大学研究人…
- 4 和 是独立的随机变量,分别服从分布 和 。已知 且 。求 和 的值。 一个水…
- 5在某诊所中,患者看医生的等待时间为 分钟。随机抽取的 120 名患者的等待时间数据汇总如下: 求…