两个家庭计划一起去徒步旅行。李家有 10 人,包括 3 对已婚夫妇、3 名单身男性和 1 名单身女性。陈家有 14 人,包括 4 对已婚夫妇、1 名单身男性和 5 名单身女性。随机挑选两人来组织这次徒步旅行。
- (a)
证明他们都来自李家的概率为 。
- (b)
求他们是来自同一个家庭的一男一女的概率。
- (c)
在已知他们是来自同一个家庭的一男一女的前提下,求他们是夫妻的概率。
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完整解法
9(a)
1. Determine the total number of people available to be chosen.
2. Calculate the probability of selecting two people from the Lee family using the multiplication rule for dependent events.
\frac{15}{92}
9(b)
1. Determine the number of men and women in each family.
A married couple consists of man and woman.
Lee family:
Men = married single
Women = married single
Tan family:
Men = married single
Women = married single
Total people .
2. Calculate the probability of randomly selecting a man and a woman from the Lee family.
This selection can happen in two mutually exclusive orders: (Man, then Woman) or (Woman, then Man).
3. Calculate the probability for the Tan family and find the total combined probability.
The total probability is the sum of the probabilities of these mutually exclusive events:
\frac{1}{4}
9(c)
1. Calculate the probability of choosing a man and a woman from the same family (as required by part b).
Let be the event that a man and a woman from the same family are chosen.
From the family compositions, the Lee family has men and women, while the Tan family has men and women.
2. Find the probability of choosing a married couple.
Let be the event that a married couple is chosen. Since all married couples consist of a man and a woman from the same family, is a subset of , meaning .
Total number of married couples = .
3. Calculate the conditional probability.
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