Two families plan to go on a hiking trip together. There are 10 people from the Lee family, consisting of 3 married couples, 3 single men and 1 single woman. There are 14 people from the Tan family, consisting of 4 married couples, 1 single man and 5 single women. Two people are randomly chosen to organise the hiking trip.
- (a)
Show that the probability that they are both from the Lee family is .
- (b)
Find the probability that they are a man and woman from the same family.
- (c)
Find the probability that they are married to each other given that they are a man and a woman from the same family.
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Worked solution
9(a)
1. Determine the total number of people available to be chosen.
2. Calculate the probability of selecting two people from the Lee family using the multiplication rule for dependent events.
\frac{15}{92}
9(b)
1. Determine the number of men and women in each family.
A married couple consists of man and woman.
Lee family:
Men = married single
Women = married single
Tan family:
Men = married single
Women = married single
Total people .
2. Calculate the probability of randomly selecting a man and a woman from the Lee family.
This selection can happen in two mutually exclusive orders: (Man, then Woman) or (Woman, then Man).
3. Calculate the probability for the Tan family and find the total combined probability.
The total probability is the sum of the probabilities of these mutually exclusive events:
\frac{1}{4}
9(c)
1. Calculate the probability of choosing a man and a woman from the same family (as required by part b).
Let be the event that a man and a woman from the same family are chosen.
From the family compositions, the Lee family has men and women, while the Tan family has men and women.
2. Find the probability of choosing a married couple.
Let be the event that a married couple is chosen. Since all married couples consist of a man and a woman from the same family, is a subset of , meaning .
Total number of married couples = .
3. Calculate the conditional probability.
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