已知事件 A 和 B 满足 且 。
- (i)
求 。
- (ii)
若事件 A 和 B 独立,求 。
- (iii)
若事件 A 和 B 不独立,求 的所有可能值的范围。
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完整解法
6(i)
1. Express the required conditional probability using the standard formula and simplify the numerator.
\nSince event is a subset of , their intersection is simply :\n
2. Determine $P(A \cup B)$ using the given probabilities and set complements.
Using De Morgan's laws, the complement of is . Therefore:\n\nSince and are mutually exclusive and their union forms :\n
3. Evaluate the final conditional probability.
6(ii)
1. Apply the addition rule and the definition of independent events to express $P(A \cup B')$ in terms of $P(A)$ and $P(B')$.
By the addition rule of probability:
Since and are independent, and are also independent. Therefore, .
2. Substitute the given values and solve for $P(B')$.
3. Find $P(B)$ using the complement rule.
6(iii)
1. Express $P(A \cup B')$ in terms of $P(B)$ and $P(A \cap B)$.
Using the addition rule for probabilities:
Since the part of not in is , this simplifies to:
Substituting the given values and :
2. Determine the basic range of $P(B)$ using the minimum and maximum possible values of $P(A \cap B)$.
The probability of an intersection must satisfy .
Since , we have:
Substitute into the inequality:
3. Exclude the value of $P(B)$ that would make $A$ and $B$ independent.
If events and were independent, we would have .
Substituting this into the equation from Step 1 (or retrieving the answer calculated in part ii):
Since we are given that and are not independent, .
Combining this with the continuous bounds from Step 2, the range of possible values is:
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