The speeds of an e-scooter ( km/h) and a pedestrian ( km/h) measured on a particular stretch of footpath are normally distributed with mean and variance as follows:
- ((i))
State the value of and find the value of .
- ((ii))
Given that the speeds of half of the e-scooters measured are found to be within km/h of the mean, find .
Find the least value of such that Alice is expected to earn a profit.
- ((iii))
A LTA officer stationed himself at the footpath and measured the speeds of 50 e-scooters at random. Find the probability that the 50th e-scooter is the 35th to exceed LTA's legal speed limit of 10 km/h.
- ((iv))
On another day, the LTA officer randomly measured the speeds of 6 e-scooters and 15 pedestrians. Find the probability that the mean speed of the e-scooters is more than twice the mean speed of the pedestrians captured.
- ((v))
Find the probability that the mean speed of randomly chosen e-scooters is more than 10 km/h, if is large.
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Worked solution
10((i))
1. State the value of $\mu$ using the symmetry of the normal distribution.
Since , by the symmetry of the normal distribution, the mean is exactly in the middle of and .
2. Set up an equation involving the standard normal variable $Z$ to find $\sigma$.
Given , we standardize the variable:
3. Solve for $\sigma$.
,
10((ii))
1. Translate the 'within a of the mean' condition into a probability equation
and we require
By the symmetry of the normal curve, the two tails together carry the remaining , so each tail is :
2. Standardise and solve for a
Using the inverse normal (GC) with mean and standard deviation :
Equivalently, , so .
km/h
10((iii))
1. Find the probability that a single randomly chosen e-scooter exceeds 10 km/h.
Let be the speed of an e-scooter in km/h. We are given .
The probability that an e-scooter exceeds 10 km/h is:
2. Identify the conditions for the 50th e-scooter to be exactly the 35th one to exceed the limit.
For the 50th e-scooter to be the 35th one to exceed the speed limit, two independent events must occur sequentially:
- Exactly 34 out of the first 49 e-scooters exceed the speed limit.
- The 50th e-scooter exceeds the speed limit.
Let be the number of e-scooters out of the first 49 that exceed 10 km/h.
3. Calculate the final probability.
10((iv))
1. Determine the mean ($\mu$) and variance ($\sigma^2$) of the pedestrian speeds from the information given in part (i).
By the symmetry of the normal distribution:
Using the given probability to find :
Using the inverse normal function on a graphing calculator:
2. State the distributions for the sample means $\bar{X}$ and $\bar{Y}$.
For e-scooters:
For pedestrians:
3. Formulate the linear combination $W = \bar{X} - 2\bar{Y}$ and calculate its expected value and variance.
Let .
Thus, .
4. Calculate the probability that the mean speed of the e-scooters is more than twice the mean speed of the pedestrians.
We need to find , which is equivalent to .
Using a graphing calculator:
10((v))
1. State the distribution of the sample mean $\bar{X}$.
Since the population is normally distributed, .
For a sample of size , the sample mean is exactly normally distributed:
2. Standardise the variable and evaluate the probability as $n$ becomes large.
As , the term .
Therefore, .
1
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