A factory manufactures paperweights consisting of glass mounted on a wooden base. The volume of glass, in , in a randomly chosen paperweight has a normal distribution with mean 56.5 and standard deviation 2.9. The volume of wood, in , has an independent normal distribution with mean 38.4 and standard deviation . The probability that the total volume of a randomly chosen paperweight exceeds is 0.05. Show that is 1.10, correct to 3 significant figures.
- (i)
Find the probability that the mean volume of glass per paperweight in a random sample of 20 paperweights is less than .
- (ii)
Find the probability that two paperweights selected at random have volumes of wood which differ by at least .
- (iii)
The glass weighs 3.1 grams per and the wood weighs 0.8 grams per .
Find the probability that the total mass of a randomly chosen paperweight is between 200 and 220 grams.
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Worked solution
12(i)
1. State the distribution of the sample mean for the volume of glass.
Let be the volume of glass in a paperweight and be the sample mean of 20 paperweights.
Since , the sample mean is exactly normally distributed:
2. Calculate the probability that the sample mean is less than 57.1.
0.823
12(ii)
1. Define the random variable for the difference in volume of wood between two paperweights and find its distribution.
Let and be the volumes of wood in two randomly chosen paperweights.
(Note: Using the more precise unrounded value from the previous part gives )
2. Formulate the required probability.
The probability that the volumes differ by at least is given by:
3. Calculate the probability using a graphing calculator.
Using a graphing calculator:
12(iii)
1. Formulate the random variable for the total mass of the paperweight.
Let be the volume of glass and be the volume of wood in a paperweight.
Let the total mass of the paperweight be .
Since mass is density multiplied by volume, we can express as a linear combination of and :
2. Calculate the expected value of the total mass.
Since and are independent normally distributed variables, their linear combination is also normally distributed.
3. Calculate the variance of the total mass.
Using the stated result from the problem stem:
4. Calculate the probability that the total mass is between 200 and 220 grams.
We have .
We need to find .
Using a graphing calculator:
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