事件 A、B 和 C 满足 P(A) = 0.8,P(B) = 0.2 且 P(C) = 0.6。已知 且 。
- (a)
精确求出以下式子的最大和最小可能值:
- (i)
。
- (ii)
.
- (i)
- (b)
进一步已知 A 和 C 相互独立,求 的值。
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完整解法
6(a)(i)
1. Determine the probability of $A \cap B \cap C$ using the given conditions.
Given , all outcomes of must lie entirely within (i.e. ). This means .
Since is a subset of , the intersection is identical to .
Therefore, .
2. Form an inequality to find the maximum possible value by partitioning $C$.
Let .
We can partition the set into four mutually exclusive regions:
Since all probabilities must be non-negative, we require:
Thus, the maximum possible value is .
3. Form an inequality to find the minimum possible value using the addition rule.
The total probability of the union of and cannot exceed , so .
Using the addition rule for probabilities:
We can express as the sum of its mutually exclusive parts:
Substituting this into the union inequality:
Thus, the minimum possible value is .
Maximum , Minimum
6(a)(ii)
1. Determine the valid range for $\text{P}(A \cap B^c \cap C)$ (required context from part a(i)).
Since , event is a subset of . This implies .
Let . The intersection is partitioned into and , so .
Using the addition rule, .
To find the valid range for , we consider boundary probabilities:
- .
- .
Thus, .
2. Apply the conditional probability formula and simplify the intersection.
By the conditional probability formula:
Since is a subset of , which is a subset of , the intersection simplifies to just the event :
3. Express the conditional probability strictly in terms of $y$.
Substitute the expressions derived in Step 1 into the simplified fraction:
Let .
4. Determine the maximum and minimum values of the rational function over the domain of $y$.
To find the extreme values over , rewrite :
As increases, the denominator decreases, causing the fraction to strictly increase.
- Minimum value (at ):
- Maximum value (at ):
Maximum: , Minimum: (or )
6(b)
1. Calculate $P(A \cap C)$ using the independence of $A$ and $C$.
Since and are independent,
2. Determine $P(A \cap B \cap C)$ using the given condition $P(A \cap B) = P(B)$.
We are given .
Since , event only occurs within event (i.e. ).
Therefore, , which means:
3. Calculate $P(A \cap B^c \cap C)$ using the partition of $A \cap C$.
The intersection can be split into two mutually exclusive parts: those inside and those outside .
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