收集了关于考试成绩 随着学生每周学习数学的小时数 如何变化的数据。7 名学生的数据如下:

- (i)
绘制该数据的散点图,并确定线性积矩相关系数。评述在此处使用线性模型是否合适。
- (ii)
以下是针对上述数据的两个可能模型:
模型 A:
模型 B:,其中 、、 和 是实常数。
指出哪一个是更好的模型,并说明理由。
- (iii)
针对你在 (ii) 中选择的模型,求出相应的最小二乘回归线方程。使用你的方程估计当 时 的值。评述你所得答案的可靠性。
它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的
完整解法
9(i)
1. Sketch the scatter diagram for the given data.
Plot the points , , , , , , and on a set of axes with (Study hours) on the horizontal axis and (Exam score) on the vertical axis.
[The resulting sketch should show the points forming a concave downwards curve that rises steeply at first and then levels off as increases.]
2. Determine the linear product-moment correlation coefficient, $r$, using a graphing calculator.
Entering the paired data into a graphing calculator:
,
3. Comment on the appropriateness of a linear model based on the visual trend.
A linear model would not be appropriate here because the points on the scatter diagram do not follow a straight line; instead, they exhibit a clear non-linear trend, increasing at a decreasing rate and levelling off.
[Scatter diagram sketched with -axis representing study hours and -axis representing exam scores, showing a curve that rises steeply then plateaus.]
(to 3 s.f.)
A linear model is not appropriate because the scatter diagram displays a clear curve (non-linear relationship).
9(ii)
1. Calculate the product-moment correlation coefficient for Model A.
For Model A (), the independent variable is .
Using a graphing calculator for the paired data , the product-moment correlation coefficient is
2. Calculate the product-moment correlation coefficient for Model B.
For Model B (), the independent variable is .
Using a graphing calculator for the paired data , the product-moment correlation coefficient is
3. Compare the $r$ values to conclude which model is better.
Comparing the absolute values of the correlation coefficients, is closer to than ().
Thus, there is a stronger linear correlation between and than between and . Model B is the better model.
Model B is a better model as its product-moment correlation coefficient, , has an absolute value closer to .
9(iii)
1. Find the equation of the least squares regression line for the chosen model.
Assuming Model B () was chosen in (ii) as its linear product-moment correlation coefficient is closer to ( compared to for Model A).
Let . Entering the paired data into a graphing calculator, the least squares regression line of on is:
2. Estimate the value of $y$ when $x = 65$.
Substitute into the unrounded regression equation:
3. Comment on the reliability of the estimate.
The value lies outside the given data range of . Since this estimation involves extrapolation, the estimated value is unreliable (the linear relationship may not hold beyond the known data points).
Equation:
Estimate:
Reliability: Unreliable, as the estimation involves extrapolation outside the given data range.
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