一名 17 岁学生完成 5 公里长跑所需的时间 TT(以分钟为单位)是一个随机变量,其均值为 30。针对这些学生引入新的训练计划后,抽取了一个容量为 nn 的随机样本。发现该样本的平均时间和标准差分别为 28.9 分钟和 4.0 分钟。

  1. ((a))

    用 nn 表示总体方差的无偏估计。

  2. ((b))

    使用 n=40n = 40,

    1. ((i))

      在 10% 的显著性水平下进行检验,以确定平均用时是否发生了变化。写出该检验的合适假设,并定义你所使用的所有符号。

    2. ((ii))

      阐述在此背景下 p 值的含义。

先不看答案,让 AI 诊断你卡在哪里?

它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的

完整解法

9((a))

1. Calculate the sample variance from the given sample standard deviation

Sample variance=4.02=16\text{Sample variance} = 4.0^2 = 16

2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance

s2=nn−1×Sample variance=nn−1(16)=16nn−1s^2 = \frac{n}{n-1} \times \text{Sample variance} = \frac{n}{n-1}(16) = \frac{16n}{n-1}

答案

16nn−1\frac{16n}{n-1}

9((b))((i))

1. State the hypotheses and define the population mean symbol.

Let μ\mu be the population mean time taken (in minutes) by a 17-year-old student to complete a 5-km run after the new training programme.
H0:μ=30H_0: \mu = 30
H1:μ≠30H_1: \mu \neq 30

2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance and state the test statistic.

From part (a), the unbiased estimate of the population variance is s2=nn−1σn2s^2 = \frac{n}{n-1} \sigma_n^2.
For n=40n=40 and sample standard deviation σn=4.0\sigma_n = 4.0:
s2=4039(4.0)2=64039≈16.410s^2 = \frac{40}{39}(4.0)^2 = \frac{640}{39} \approx 16.410
Under H0H_0, since n=40n=40 is large (n≥30n \ge 30), the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} is approximately normally distributed by the Central Limit Theorem.
The test statistic is Z=Xˉ−μ0S/n∼N(0,1)Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu_0}{S/\sqrt{n}} \sim N(0, 1) approximately.
z=28.9−30640/3940=−1.11639≈−1.71737z = \frac{28.9 - 30}{\sqrt{\frac{640/39}{40}}} = \frac{-1.1}{\sqrt{\frac{16}{39}}} \approx -1.71737

3. Calculate the p-value for the two-tailed test.

p-value=2×P(Z≤−1.71737)p\text{-value} = 2 \times P(Z \le -1.71737)
p-value≈0.085906≈0.0859 (to 3 s.f.)p\text{-value} \approx 0.085906 \approx 0.0859 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

4. Compare the p-value with the significance level and state the conclusion.

Since the pp-value =0.0859<0.10= 0.0859 < 0.10, we reject H0H_0.
There is sufficient evidence at the 10% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken has changed.

答案

H0:μ=30H_0: \mu = 30
H1:μ≠30H_1: \mu \neq 30
p-value=0.0859p\text{-value} = 0.0859
Reject H0H_0; there is sufficient evidence at the 10% significance level to conclude that the mean time taken has changed.

9((b))((ii))

1. State the contextual meaning of the $p$-value.

The pp-value is the probability of obtaining a sample mean time of 28.9 minutes or a value more extreme, assuming that the true population mean time taken by the students is 30 minutes.

答案

The pp-value is the probability of obtaining a sample mean time of 28.9 minutes or a value more extreme, assuming that the true population mean time taken by the students is 30 minutes.

AI 分析,可能出错

用 AI 批改,圈出写错的那一步,并自动将你的薄弱点存入错题本,形成你的错因库。

同一知识点的其他题

  1. 1一位营养学家声称,每根能量棒的平均卡路里含量为 350 cal。该营养学家收集并测量了 15 根能量棒的随机样本的卡路里含量。样本均值和方差分别为 347.2 cal 和 20.74 cal2\text{cal}^2。 该营养学家希望对其声称进…
  2. 2永初农场(Eng Choo Farm)的业主声称,其农场生产的鸡蛋平均每只含有 μ0\mu_0 毫克的胆固醇。 健康促进局从该农场随机抽取了 16 只鸡蛋,并测量了每只鸡蛋的胆固醇含量 xx 毫克。结果汇总如下: ∑x=2848\sum x = 2848…
  3. 3一家面包店声称每个蛋糕的平均质量为 600 克。对 10 个蛋糕进行了随机抽样检验,并确定了每个蛋糕的质量 xx 克。结果发现: ∑(x−500)=800and∑(x−500)2=65764.\sum(x-500)=800\quad\text{and}\quad\sum(x-500)^2=65764.…
  4. 4一家电器供应商正在调查在流行社交媒体平台 SnapGram 上的月度广告支出(记为 xx,单位为千美元)对其月销售利润(记为 yy,单位为千美元)的潜在影响。该供应商收集了过去一年中的以下数据。 这组数据被认为可以用以下方程之一进行建模…
  5. 5道格先生的工厂生产在当地超市销售的袋装面粉,包装分为两种规格——普通装和大装。自动机器进行称重和包装。最近一次严重的停电导致他所有的机器在重新启动时都需要重新校准。 普通装袋装面粉的平均质量应该是 1 kg。道格先生怀疑他的机器现在包装的普…