The time taken, (in minutes), for a 17-year-old student to complete a 5-km run is a random variable with mean 30. After a new training programme is introduced for these students, a random sample of students is taken. The mean time and standard deviation for the sample are found to be 28.9 minutes and 4.0 minutes respectively.
- ((a))
Find the unbiased estimate of the population variance in terms of .
- ((b))
Using ,
- ((i))
carry out a test at the 10% significance level to determine if the mean time taken has changed. State appropriate hypotheses for the test and define any symbols you use.
- ((ii))
State what it means by the p-value in this context.
- ((i))
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Worked solution
9((a))
1. Calculate the sample variance from the given sample standard deviation
2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance
9((b))((i))
1. State the hypotheses and define the population mean symbol.
Let be the population mean time taken (in minutes) by a 17-year-old student to complete a 5-km run after the new training programme.
2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance and state the test statistic.
From part (a), the unbiased estimate of the population variance is .
For and sample standard deviation :
Under , since is large (), the sample mean is approximately normally distributed by the Central Limit Theorem.
The test statistic is approximately.
3. Calculate the p-value for the two-tailed test.
4. Compare the p-value with the significance level and state the conclusion.
Since the -value , we reject .
There is sufficient evidence at the 10% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken has changed.
Reject ; there is sufficient evidence at the 10% significance level to conclude that the mean time taken has changed.
9((b))((ii))
1. State the contextual meaning of the $p$-value.
The -value is the probability of obtaining a sample mean time of 28.9 minutes or a value more extreme, assuming that the true population mean time taken by the students is 30 minutes.
The -value is the probability of obtaining a sample mean time of 28.9 minutes or a value more extreme, assuming that the true population mean time taken by the students is 30 minutes.
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