In this question you should state the parameters of any distributions you use. A snack company produces two types of potato chips, Rays and Luffles. The mass, in grams, of a regular packet of Rays follows the distribution and the mass, in grams, of a regular packet of Luffles follows the distribution . The masses of all regular packets of potato chips are independent of one another.
- (a)
If the probability of the mass of a randomly chosen packet of Rays not exceeding grams is less than 0.2, find the possible range of values of .
- (b)
It is given that for the rest of this question.
Find the probability that the total mass of 2 randomly chosen regular packets of Rays and 3 randomly chosen packets of Luffles is greater than 0.55 kg.
- (c)
The snack company decides to launch a new product called Mega Jumbo Pack, which consists of regular packets of Rays and regular packets of Luffles. It is given that the probability of the mass of a Mega Jumbo Pack exceeding 20 times the mass of a regular packet of Luffles by more than 500 g is at least 0.1. Find the minimum value of .
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Worked solution
7(a)
1. Set up the probability inequality and standardise to $Z$
Let be the mass of a packet of Rays, .
Given the condition, we have:
Standardising the variable to the standard normal :
2. Solve for $\sigma$ using the inverse normal function
From the standard normal distribution, the -value corresponding to a cumulative probability of is found using a graphing calculator:
Multiplying by and flipping the inequality sign:
7(b)
1. Define the random variable for the total mass and compute its expected value.
Let be the total mass of the 5 packets.
2. Compute the variance of the total mass, using the fact that the packets are independent.
Since the masses of all regular packets are independent,
3. State the distribution of the total mass, convert the units to match, and calculate the required probability.
Therefore, the distribution of is .
Convert .
(to 3 s.f.)
0.891
7(c)
1. Determine the expected value and variance of the total mass of the Mega Jumbo Pack.
Let be the mass of a Mega Jumbo Pack.
2. Find the expected value and variance for 20 times the mass of a regular packet of Luffles.
Let be the mass of a randomly chosen regular packet of Luffles.
3. Formulate the normal distribution for the difference in mass.
Let .
Hence, .
4. Set up the probability inequality and solve for the minimum integer value of $n$.
We are given that .
Standardising, we have .
Using a graphing calculator to find for integer values of :
When ,
When ,
Therefore, the minimum value of is 20.
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