A virus is spreading in a country. The number of infected cases, , after days, can be modelled by , where and are constants. The number of infected cases was 3600 after 16 days. Four days later, the number of infected cases increased to 9000.
- (a)
Show that and .
- (b)
Given that the number of infected cases first exceeds 100 after days, where is an integer, find the value of .
- (c)
Describe what happens to the number of infected cases in the long run.
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Worked solution
2(a)
1. Form the first equation using the data for $t = 16$.
When , .
2. Form the second equation using the data for $t = 20$.
Four days later, , and .
3. Solve the simultaneous equations to find $a$ and $b$.
Equating the expressions for :
Substitute into :
Thus, and .
Shown.
2(b)
1. Set up the inequality using the given model and constants from part (a)
2. Rearrange the inequality to isolate the exponential term
3. Use logarithms to solve for t
4. Determine the smallest integer value for n
Since and is an integer, the number of infected cases first exceeds 100 after 11 days.
2(c)
1. Determine the behaviour of the exponential term as $t$ becomes very large
In the long run, .
As , , so .
2. Calculate the limiting value of $I$
Therefore, the number of infected cases approaches 10000.
The number of infected cases approaches 10000.
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