In this question you should state clearly the parameters of any normal distributions you use. The masses in kilograms of chickens have the distribution such that 7.65% of them have a mass greater than 1.6 kg.
- (a)
Find the value of .
- (b)
The masses in kilograms of ducks have the distribution . Find the probability that the mass of a randomly chosen chicken is less than 1.6 kg and the mass of a randomly chosen duck is more than 1.9 kg.
- (c)
Chickens and ducks are sold at $11 per kg and $18 per kg respectively. Find the probability that the total selling price of 4 randomly chosen chickens differs from twice the selling price of a randomly chosen duck by at least $5.
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Worked solution
10(a)
1. Express the given probability using the standard normal variable $Z$.
Let be the mass of a chicken, so .
We are given that .
Standardising, we have:
2. Use the inverse normal function to solve for $\sigma$.
Using the inverse normal distribution function on a graphing calculator:
10(b)
1. Find the probability that a chosen chicken has a mass less than 1.6 kg.
Let be the mass of a chicken in kg.
Since of chickens have a mass greater than , the probability of being less than is:
2. Find the probability that a chosen duck has a mass more than 1.9 kg.
Let be the mass of a duck in kg.
Given the distribution ,
3. Calculate the combined probability of both independent events occurring.
Since the choice of a chicken and a duck are independent events, we multiply their respective probabilities:
10(c)
1. Calculate the standard deviation $\sigma$ from the given probability (from part a).
From part (a), and .
Standardising the variable:
Using the inverse normal distribution, .
2. Define the expected selling prices for the chickens and the duck.
Let be the selling price of 4 randomly chosen chickens.
Let be twice the selling price of 1 randomly chosen duck.
Let be the difference in selling prices.
3. Calculate the variance of the difference in selling prices.
Since the chickens and the duck are chosen independently,
Thus, the difference follows a normal distribution: .
4. Calculate the probability that the difference is at least \$5.
We require the probability that the difference is at least $5, which is .
Using a graphing calculator:
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