For the events , and it is given that and . It is also given that
- (a)
Find the greatest and least possible values of .
- (b)
Draw a Venn diagram showing all 3 events representing the case where the value of is the greatest.
It is now known that .
- (c)
If and are independent events, calculate the value of .
- (c)
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Worked solution
6(a)
1. Establish that $A$ is a subset of $B$ and find $P(A' \cap B)$.
Since and , we have , which means that event is entirely contained within event ().
The probability of the region in but not in is:
2. Find the greatest possible value of $P(A \cap C)$.
The probability of cannot exceed the probability of itself.
Also, since , must be a subset of , so:
Since , the maximum possible overlap between and is bounded by .
Greatest possible value = (occurring if ).
3. Relate $P(A \cap C)$ to $P(B \cap C)$ to set up finding the minimum bound.
Since , the intersection can be exactly partitioned into the part inside and the part outside :
Substituting the given value :
To find the least value of , we must maximize .
4. Maximize $P(A' \cap B \cap C)$ to calculate the least possible value of $P(A \cap C)$.
The intersection is a subset of , so its probability is bounded by :
Therefore, the least possible value of is:
Greatest value: , Least value:
6(b)
1. Deduce the subset relationship between A, B, and C for the greatest probability.
Since , event is a subset of event ().
The greatest possible value for is bounded by , so the maximum is . This occurs when event is also a subset of event ().
Thus, must be a subset of both and , meaning .
2. Describe the resulting Venn diagram.
To visually represent this, we draw events and as intersecting circles.
Since , circle is drawn entirely within the overlapping region of and .
A Venn diagram with a rectangular boundary for the sample space, two overlapping circles representing events and , and a smaller circle representing event drawn completely inside the intersection region of and .
6[2](c)
1. Find the probability of the union of all three events using the complement rule.
2. Recognise that $A$ is a subset of $B$ to simplify the union.
Since , all outcomes in are also in , so .
Therefore, , which means .
3. Calculate $P(C)$ using the addition rule for $B$ and $C$.
4. Calculate $P(A \cap C)$ using the definition of independent events.
Since and are independent events,
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