Bag A has 4 green counters, 6 red counters and 2 yellow counters.
- (a)
Alice takes a counter at random from Bag A, notes its colour and replaces it in the bag. She repeated this process n times. Write down an expression, in terms of n, for the probability that she takes only green counter.
Answer ...
- (b)
Bill takes a counter at random from Bag A, notes its colour and replaces it back. He then takes a second counter at random from Bag A.
Calculate the probability that Bill takes only one yellow counter.
Answer ...
- (c)
Bag B has 3 green counters and 3 red counters.
Charles takes a counter at random from Bag A and places it into Bag B. He then takes a counter at random from Bag B and places it into Bag A.
Find the probability that after these two moves, Bag A has 4 green counters, 6 red counters and 2 yellow counters.
Answer ...
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Worked solution
2(a)
1. Find the probability of taking a green counter on one draw and raise it to the power $n$ for repeated draws with replacement.
Total number of counters in Bag A:
Probability of taking a green counter in one draw:
Since the counter is replaced each time, the probability is the same for each of the draws.
Probability of taking only green counters in draws:
2(b)
1. Find the probabilities of drawing a yellow counter and a non-yellow counter from Bag A.
Bag A has counters.
2. Add the probabilities of the two mutually exclusive orders giving exactly one yellow.
Exactly one yellow can occur as:
With replacement, the probabilities on the two draws are unchanged.
2(c)
1. Identify the favourable cases that leave Bag A unchanged.
Bag A will have its original contents again only if the counter taken from Bag B and placed into Bag A is the same colour as the counter first taken from Bag A.
Possible favourable cases:
from A then from B, or from A then from B, or from A then from B.
2. Find the probability of each favourable case.
Initially, Bag A has counters and Bag B has counters.
For green:
For red:
For yellow:
3. Add the mutually exclusive favourable probabilities.
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