Bag A has 4 green counters, 6 red counters and 2 yellow counters.

  1. (a)

    Alice takes a counter at random from Bag A, notes its colour and replaces it in the bag. She repeated this process n times. Write down an expression, in terms of n, for the probability that she takes only green counter.

    Answer ...

  2. (b)

    Bill takes a counter at random from Bag A, notes its colour and replaces it back. He then takes a second counter at random from Bag A.

    Calculate the probability that Bill takes only one yellow counter.

    Answer ...

  3. (c)

    Bag B has 3 green counters and 3 red counters.

    Charles takes a counter at random from Bag A and places it into Bag B. He then takes a counter at random from Bag B and places it into Bag A.

    Find the probability that after these two moves, Bag A has 4 green counters, 6 red counters and 2 yellow counters.

    Answer ...

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Worked solution

2(a)

1. Find the probability of taking a green counter on one draw and raise it to the power $n$ for repeated draws with replacement.

Total number of counters in Bag A:
4+6+2=124+6+2=12
Probability of taking a green counter in one draw:
412=13\frac{4}{12}=\frac{1}{3}
Since the counter is replaced each time, the probability is the same for each of the nn draws.

Probability of taking only green counters in nn draws:
(13)n\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^n

Answer

(13)n\left(\dfrac{1}{3}\right)^n

2(b)

1. Find the probabilities of drawing a yellow counter and a non-yellow counter from Bag A.

Bag A has 4+6+2=124+6+2=12 counters.

P(Y)=212=16P(Y)=\frac{2}{12}=\frac{1}{6}

P(not Y)=1012=56P(\text{not }Y)=\frac{10}{12}=\frac{5}{6}

2. Add the probabilities of the two mutually exclusive orders giving exactly one yellow.

Exactly one yellow can occur as:

Y then not Yornot Y then YY\text{ then not }Y \quad \text{or} \quad \text{not }Y\text{ then }Y

With replacement, the probabilities on the two draws are unchanged.

P(exactly one yellow)=16×56+56×16P(\text{exactly one yellow})=\frac{1}{6}\times\frac{5}{6}+\frac{5}{6}\times\frac{1}{6}

=536+536=1036=518=\frac{5}{36}+\frac{5}{36}=\frac{10}{36}=\frac{5}{18}

Answer

518\dfrac{5}{18}

2(c)

1. Identify the favourable cases that leave Bag A unchanged.

Bag A will have its original contents again only if the counter taken from Bag B and placed into Bag A is the same colour as the counter first taken from Bag A.

Possible favourable cases:

GG from A then GG from B, or RR from A then RR from B, or YY from A then YY from B.

2. Find the probability of each favourable case.

Initially, Bag A has 1212 counters and Bag B has 66 counters.

For green:
P(G from A then G from B)=412×47=421.P(G\text{ from A then }G\text{ from B})=\frac{4}{12}\times\frac{4}{7}=\frac{4}{21}.

For red:
P(R from A then R from B)=612×47=27.P(R\text{ from A then }R\text{ from B})=\frac{6}{12}\times\frac{4}{7}=\frac{2}{7}.

For yellow:
P(Y from A then Y from B)=212×17=142.P(Y\text{ from A then }Y\text{ from B})=\frac{2}{12}\times\frac{1}{7}=\frac{1}{42}.

3. Add the mutually exclusive favourable probabilities.

421+27+142=842+1242+142=2142=12.\frac{4}{21}+\frac{2}{7}+\frac{1}{42} =\frac{8}{42}+\frac{12}{42}+\frac{1}{42} =\frac{21}{42} =\frac{1}{2}.
Answer

512\dfrac{5}{12}

AI analysis — may contain mistakes.

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