A bag contains 12 balls.
2 of the balls are red, n are green balls and the rest are blue balls.
Eunice takes two balls from the bag, at random, without replacement.

  1. ((a))

    Complete the tree diagram.

  2. ((b))

    The probability that Eunice takes two blue balls is 522\tfrac{5}{22}.
    Write down an equation to represent this information and show that it simplifies to

    n2−19n+60=0n^2 - 19n + 60 = 0.

    Answer

  3. ((c))

    Solve the equation n2−19n+60=0n^2 - 19n + 60 = 0.

    Answer

    n = ... or ...

  4. ((d))

    Explain why one of the solutions in part (c) must be rejected.

    ...

  5. ((e))

    Find, as a fraction, in its simplest form, the probability that Eunice takes balls of different colours.

    Answer ...

  6. ((f))

    In this round, Eunice takes two balls from the bag, at random, with replacement. Find, as a fraction, in its simplest form, the probability that she will take balls of the same colour.

    Answer ...

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Worked solution

5((a))

1. Write the first-draw probabilities for each colour.

There are 12 balls in total.

Red balls: 22

Green balls: nn

Blue balls: 12−2−n=10−n12-2-n=10-n

So the first-draw probabilities are
P(R)=212,P(G)=n12,P(B)=10−n12.P(R)=\frac{2}{12},\quad P(G)=\frac{n}{12},\quad P(B)=\frac{10-n}{12}.

2. Fill in the second-draw conditional probabilities after each possible first draw.

Since the balls are taken without replacement, there are 1111 balls left for the second draw.

If the first ball is Red:
P(R)=111,P(G)=n11,P(B)=10−n11.P(R)=\frac{1}{11},\quad P(G)=\frac{n}{11},\quad P(B)=\frac{10-n}{11}.

If the first ball is Green:
P(R)=211,P(G)=n−111,P(B)=10−n11.P(R)=\frac{2}{11},\quad P(G)=\frac{n-1}{11},\quad P(B)=\frac{10-n}{11}.

If the first ball is Blue:
P(R)=211,P(G)=n11,P(B)=9−n11.P(R)=\frac{2}{11},\quad P(G)=\frac{n}{11},\quad P(B)=\frac{9-n}{11}.

Answer

First draw: 212, n12, 10−n12\dfrac{2}{12},\ \dfrac{n}{12},\ \dfrac{10-n}{12}.

Second draw:

  • after Red: 111, n11, 10−n11\dfrac{1}{11},\ \dfrac{n}{11},\ \dfrac{10-n}{11}
  • after Green: 211, n−111, 10−n11\dfrac{2}{11},\ \dfrac{n-1}{11},\ \dfrac{10-n}{11}
  • after Blue: 211, n11, 9−n11\dfrac{2}{11},\ \dfrac{n}{11},\ \dfrac{9-n}{11}

5((b))

1. Write the probability of taking two blue balls without replacement.

From the tree diagram,

P(Blue then Blue)=10−n12×9−n11P(\text{Blue then Blue})=\frac{10-n}{12}\times\frac{9-n}{11}

Given that this probability is 522\frac{5}{22},

10−n12×9−n11=522\frac{10-n}{12}\times\frac{9-n}{11}=\frac{5}{22}

2. Clear denominators to remove fractions.

(10−n)(9−n)132=522\frac{(10-n)(9-n)}{132}=\frac{5}{22}

Multiply both sides by 132132:

(10−n)(9−n)=30(10-n)(9-n)=30

3. Expand and rearrange into the required quadratic form.

(10−n)(9−n)=30(10-n)(9-n)=30

90−10n−9n+n2=3090-10n-9n+n^2=30

n2−19n+90=30n^2-19n+90=30

n2−19n+60=0n^2-19n+60=0

Answer

10−n12×9−n11=522\frac{10-n}{12}\times\frac{9-n}{11}=\frac{5}{22}

n2−19n+60=0n^2-19n+60=0

5((c))

1. Factorise the quadratic expression.

Find two numbers with product 6060 and sum 1919: 44 and 1515.

n2−19n+60=0n^2-19n+60=0
(n−4)(n−15)=0(n-4)(n-15)=0

2. Use the zero product property to find the two values of $n$.

(n−4)(n−15)=0(n-4)(n-15)=0

So,
n−4=0orn−15=0n-4=0 \quad \text{or} \quad n-15=0

n=4orn=15n=4 \quad \text{or} \quad n=15

Answer

n=4n=4 or n=15n=15

5((d))

1. Identify the impossible solution using the total number of balls.

From part (c), n=4n=4 or n=15n=15.

But the bag contains only 12 balls, so nn cannot be greater than 12.

Therefore, reject n=15n=15.

Answer

Reject n=15n=15, because there are only 12 balls in the bag, so the number of green balls cannot be 15.

5((e))

1. Use the valid value of $n$ to state the number of balls of each colour.

From parts (c) and (d), n=4n=4.

So the bag contains:

  • red balls: 22
  • green balls: 44
  • blue balls: 10−4=610-4=6

2. Find the probability of taking two balls of the same colour without replacement.

P(same colour)=P(RR)+P(GG)+P(BB)P(\text{same colour})=P(RR)+P(GG)+P(BB)

=212×111+412×311+612×511=\frac{2}{12}\times\frac{1}{11}+\frac{4}{12}\times\frac{3}{11}+\frac{6}{12}\times\frac{5}{11}

=2132+12132+30132=\frac{2}{132}+\frac{12}{132}+\frac{30}{132}

=44132=13=\frac{44}{132}=\frac{1}{3}

3. Use the complement to find the probability of different colours.

P(different colours)=1−P(same colour)P(\text{different colours})=1-P(\text{same colour})

=1−13=23=1-\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{3}

Answer

23\dfrac{2}{3}

5((f))

1. State the numbers of balls of each colour using the accepted value of $n$.

From earlier parts, n=4n=4.

So the bag contains:

  • red balls: 22
  • green balls: 44
  • blue balls: 10−4=610-4=6

2. Find the probability of taking two balls of the same colour with replacement.

With replacement, the probabilities remain the same for both draws.

P(same colour)=P(RR)+P(GG)+P(BB)P(\text{same colour})=P(RR)+P(GG)+P(BB)

=(212)2+(412)2+(612)2=\left(\frac{2}{12}\right)^2+\left(\frac{4}{12}\right)^2+\left(\frac{6}{12}\right)^2

=4144+16144+36144=\frac{4}{144}+\frac{16}{144}+\frac{36}{144}

=56144=718=\frac{56}{144}=\frac{7}{18}

Answer

718\dfrac{7}{18}

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