A drawer contains 2 blue socks and 6 white socks. Two socks are taken from the drawer at random without replacement.
If the two socks are different colours, then a third sock is taken from the drawer.
Otherwise, no third sock is taken.

  1. ((i))

    Draw a tree diagram to show the probabilities of the possible outcomes.

    Answer

  2. ((ii))

    Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that

    1. ((a))

      the first two socks taken are the same colour,

      Answer ...

    2. ((b))

      a third sock is taken and it is the same colour as the first sock.

      Answer ...

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Worked solution

(b)((i))

1. Set up the first two draws without replacement.

Initially there are 22 blue socks and 66 white socks, so 88 socks in total.

First sock:
P(B)=28,P(W)=68.P(B)=\frac{2}{8}, \qquad P(W)=\frac{6}{8}.

If the first sock is blue, then 11 blue and 66 white socks remain out of 77:
P(B second∣B first)=17,P(W second∣B first)=67.P(B\text{ second}\mid B\text{ first})=\frac{1}{7}, \qquad P(W\text{ second}\mid B\text{ first})=\frac{6}{7}.

If the first sock is white, then 22 blue and 55 white socks remain out of 77:
P(B second∣W first)=27,P(W second∣W first)=57.P(B\text{ second}\mid W\text{ first})=\frac{2}{7}, \qquad P(W\text{ second}\mid W\text{ first})=\frac{5}{7}.

2. Add the third draw only for branches where the first two socks are different colours.

A third sock is taken only after BWBW or WBWB.

After BWBW, the remaining socks are 11 blue and 55 white out of 66:
P(B third∣BW)=16,P(W third∣BW)=56.P(B\text{ third}\mid BW)=\frac{1}{6}, \qquad P(W\text{ third}\mid BW)=\frac{5}{6}.

After WBWB, the remaining socks are also 11 blue and 55 white out of 66:
P(B third∣WB)=16,P(W third∣WB)=56.P(B\text{ third}\mid WB)=\frac{1}{6}, \qquad P(W\text{ third}\mid WB)=\frac{5}{6}.

No third branch is drawn after BBBB or WWWW.

Answer

Tree diagram probabilities:

  • First sock: B:28B: \dfrac{2}{8}, W:68W: \dfrac{6}{8}
  • If first is BB: second sock B:17B: \dfrac{1}{7}, W:67W: \dfrac{6}{7}
  • If first is WW: second sock B:27B: \dfrac{2}{7}, W:57W: \dfrac{5}{7}
  • Third sock only if first two are different colours:
    • After BWBW: third sock B:16B: \dfrac{1}{6}, W:56W: \dfrac{5}{6}
    • After WBWB: third sock B:16B: \dfrac{1}{6}, W:56W: \dfrac{5}{6}

(b)((ii))((a))

1. Identify the favourable same-colour outcomes for the first two socks.

The first two socks are the same colour if the outcome is either BBBB or WWWW.

2. Find the probability of getting two blue socks or two white socks.

P(BB)=28×17=256P(BB)=\frac{2}{8}\times\frac{1}{7}=\frac{2}{56}
P(WW)=68×57=3056P(WW)=\frac{6}{8}\times\frac{5}{7}=\frac{30}{56}

3. Add the mutually exclusive probabilities and simplify.

P(same colour)=P(BB)+P(WW)P(\text{same colour})=P(BB)+P(WW)
=256+3056=3256=47=\frac{2}{56}+\frac{30}{56}=\frac{32}{56}=\frac{4}{7}

Answer

1128\dfrac{11}{28}

(b)((ii))((b))

1. Identify the favourable outcomes.

A third sock is taken only if the first two socks are different colours.

For the third sock to be the same colour as the first sock, the possible outcomes are

BWBBWB or WBWWBW.

2. Multiply along each branch and add the mutually exclusive probabilities.

P(BWB)=28×67×16=128P(BWB)=\frac{2}{8}\times\frac{6}{7}\times\frac{1}{6}=\frac{1}{28}

P(WBW)=68×27×56=528P(WBW)=\frac{6}{8}\times\frac{2}{7}\times\frac{5}{6}=\frac{5}{28}

P(third sock is taken and same colour as first)=128+528=628=314P(\text{third sock is taken and same colour as first})=\frac{1}{28}+\frac{5}{28}=\frac{6}{28}=\frac{3}{14}

Answer

314\dfrac{3}{14}

AI analysis — may contain mistakes.

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