'Famous Amas' makes two types of cookies, almond cookie and chocolate chip cookie. The mass of an almond cookie and a chocolate chip cookie, in grams, are independent random variables with the distribution and respectively. Almond cookies are sold at $6 per 100 g and chocolate chip cookies at $5 per 100 g. John buys 4 almond cookies and 4 chocolate chip cookies. Cindy buys 10 chocolate chip cookies.
- (i)
Find the probability that the total mass of four randomly chosen chocolate chip cookies is between 100 g and 120 g.
- (ii)
Find the probability that total mass of four randomly chosen chocolate chip cookies differs from twice the mass of a randomly chosen almond cookie by less than 50 g.
- (iii)
Find the probability that John pays more than Cindy.
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Worked solution
10(i)
1. Determine the distribution for the total mass of 4 randomly chosen chocolate chip cookies.
Let be the mass of a chocolate chip cookie, where .
Let .
Hence, .
2. Evaluate the probability that the total mass is between 100 g and 120 g.
We require .
Using a graphing calculator:
(to 3 s.f.)
10(ii)
1. Define the random variable for the difference and calculate its expected value.
Let be the masses of the 4 randomly chosen chocolate chip cookies and be the mass of the randomly chosen almond cookie.
Let .
2. Calculate the variance of the combined random variable.
Thus, .
3. Formulate the probability expression and evaluate it.
The magnitude of the difference is less than 50 g, so we require .
10(iii)
1. Define the cost variables for John ($J$) and Cindy ($Y$) by applying the price rates to the respective total masses.
Let be the total mass of 4 almond cookies, be the total mass of 4 chocolate chip cookies, and be the total mass of 10 chocolate chip cookies.
From the given distributions:
The prices per gram are for almond and for chocolate chip.
Cost for John:
Cost for Cindy:
2. Calculate the expected value of the difference $J - Y$.
3. Calculate the variance of the difference $J - Y$.
Since and are independent:
4. State the distribution of $J - Y$ and compute the probability $P(J > Y)$.
Since linear combinations of independent normal variables are also normally distributed:
We want to find , which is equivalent to :
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