In an online shop, the time taken, in hours, to sell a watch is a normally distributed continuous random variable XX. The standard deviation of XX is 0.68 hours and the expected value of XX is 1.75 hours. After an aggressive advertising campaign, the total time taken to sell 8 watches is found to be 11 hours. Test, at 5% level of significance, whether there is evidence that the mean time taken to sell a watch has decreased. State an assumption that you have used in your calculation.

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Worked solution

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1. Define the population mean and state the null and alternative hypotheses.

Let μ\mu be the population mean time taken, in hours, to sell a watch.
H0:μ=1.75H_0: \mu = 1.75
H1:μ<1.75H_1: \mu < 1.75

2. State the test statistic and parameters.

Under H0H_0, the test statistic is Z=Xˉ−μσ/n∼N(0,1)Z = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} \sim N(0, 1)
Given n=8n = 8, the sample mean xˉ=118=1.375\bar{x} = \frac{11}{8} = 1.375, and population standard deviation σ=0.68\sigma = 0.68.
Level of significance α=0.05\alpha = 0.05.

3. Calculate the value of the test statistic and the corresponding $p$-value.

z=1.375−1.750.68/8≈−1.5598z = \frac{1.375 - 1.75}{0.68/\sqrt{8}} \approx -1.5598
Using a graphing calculator,
p-value=P(Z≤−1.5598)≈0.0594p\text{-value} = P(Z \le -1.5598) \approx 0.0594 (to 3 s.f.)

4. Compare the $p$-value to the significance level and state the conclusion in context.

Since the p-value=0.0594>0.05p\text{-value} = 0.0594 > 0.05, we do not reject H0H_0.
There is insufficient evidence at the 5% level of significance to conclude that the mean time taken to sell a watch has decreased after the advertising campaign.

5. State an assumption made in the calculation.

Assumption: The standard deviation of the time taken to sell a watch remains unchanged at 0.68 hours after the advertising campaign.
(Alternatively: The times taken to sell each of the 8 watches are independent of one another.)

Answer

Do not reject H0H_0; insufficient evidence that the mean time has decreased.
Assumption: The standard deviation remains unchanged at 0.68 hours (or times taken to sell watches are independent).

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