[For this question, you should state clearly the values of the parameters of any normal distribution you use.] After dinner every day, Benedict gives himself some time for relaxation before starting his revision at 8 pm. He finishes his dinner at minutes past 7 pm, where follows the distribution . After dinner, he usually spends minutes on social media, which follows the distribution .
- (i)
Given that Benedict starts his revision late 12.5% of the time if he spends time on social media after his dinner, show that .
- (ii)
For the rest of this question, assume that .
Sketch the distribution of the time that Benedict spends on dinner after 7 pm and on social media till 8 pm.
- (iii)
On some occasions after dinner, when he does not spend time on social media, he plays online games. The time he takes to finish the games, minutes, follows the distribution .
On a particular day after dinner, Benedict spent time on social media. On another day, he played online games. Find the probability that the time he starts revision on the two days differ by at most 5 minutes.
- (iv)
On average, Benedict plays online games on 20% of the evenings after dinner.
On a particular evening, Benedict started his revision late. Find the probability that he played online games that evening.
- (v)
State a necessary assumption for your calculations in (ii), (iii) and (iv) to be valid.
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Worked solution
11(i)
1. Define the distribution of the total time taken before starting revision.
Let be the total time in minutes past 7 pm before Benedict starts his revision. Then .
Assuming and are independent:
2. Set up the probability equation for starting revision late.
Benedict plans to start his revision at 8 pm, which is 60 minutes past 7 pm. He starts late if .
Given that he is late 12.5% of the time:
3. Standardise the normal variable and solve for $k$.
Standardising the normal variable to the standard normal variable :
Using the inverse normal function (from GC or tables), the -value for an area of 0.875 is approximately .
(shown)
11(ii)
1. Find the distribution of the total time spent on dinner and social media.
Let be the total time spent, so .
Assuming and are independent:
So, .
2. Sketch the normal distribution curve for $T$.
Draw a normal distribution curve with the following features:
- A horizontal axis labelled (time in minutes).
- A bell-shaped, symmetrical curve entirely above the horizontal axis.
- The peak (maximum point) of the curve is aligned with .
- The spread can be indicated by points of inflexion at , i.e., ( and ), though marking the central mean of is the primary requirement.
- The tails of the curve asymptotically approach the horizontal axis.
A sketch of a bell-shaped curve above a horizontal axis (labelled or ) with the peak centred symmetrically at . The curve should asymptotically approach the horizontal axis on both sides.
11(iii)
1. Define the start times for the two days and find the mean of their difference.
Let be the revision start time on the social media day, and be the revision start time on the gaming day.
We are looking for the difference .
2. Find the variance of the difference and state its normal distribution.
Since the events occur on different days, and are independent instances. We sum the individual variances:
Thus, the difference follows a normal distribution: .
3. Calculate the probability that the difference is at most 5 minutes.
We require , which is equivalent to .
Using a graphing calculator with and :
11(iv)
1. Find the distribution of the total time taken for dinner and online games before revision.
Let be the total time spent from 7 pm to the start of revision if he plays online games.
Assuming and are independent,
2. Calculate the conditional probability that he is late given he played online games.
He is late if the total time exceeds 60 minutes (from 7 pm to 8 pm).
Using the graphing calculator:
3. Determine the total probability that Benedict starts his revision late.
Let be the event he uses social media and be the event he plays online games.
Since he only does one or the other, means .
From part (i), we know .
4. Find the conditional probability that he played online games given he started late.
Using Bayes' Theorem:
11(v)
1. State the necessary assumption of independence between the variables.
To calculate the variance of the combined times ( and ) by simply adding their individual variances, the underlying random variables must be independent of each other.
The time Benedict spends on dinner is independent of the time he spends on social media and the time he plays online games.
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