The waiting time for a patient to see a doctor in a clinic is minutes. The waiting times of a randomly chosen sample of 120 patients are summarised by
- (i)
Find an unbiased estimate of the population mean and show that the unbiased estimate of the population variance is .
- (ii)
The management of the clinic claims that the mean waiting time is 15 minutes.
Carry out a test at the 5% significance level to determine whether the mean waiting time differs from 15 minutes.
- (iii)
In another sample, the waiting times of patients (where ) were recorded and a one-tail test was conducted. Given that the sample mean was minutes and the null hypothesis was not rejected at the 6% level of significance, find the range of values of .
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Worked solution
10(i)
1. Find the unbiased estimate of the population mean.
2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance and round to show the given value.
Unbiased estimate of the population mean is .
10(ii)
1. Calculate the sample mean from the data provided in part (i)
From part (i), the sample mean is:
2. State the null and alternative hypotheses
Let be the population mean waiting time in minutes.
3. Calculate the test statistic and $p$-value
Since is large, by the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean is approximately normally distributed.
Under , the test statistic is approximately.
Using the unbiased estimate of population variance from part (i):
Using a graphing calculator, the -value for a 2-tailed test is:
4. Make a conclusion based on the $p$-value
Compare the -value with the level of significance .
Since , we reject .
There is sufficient evidence at the level of significance to conclude that the mean waiting time differs from minutes.
Reject . There is sufficient evidence at the level of significance to conclude that the mean waiting time differs from minutes.
10(iii)
1. State the hypotheses and the test statistic, using the variance estimate from part (i).
Let be the population mean waiting time.
(since the sample mean and a one-tail test was conducted)
Since is large, by the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean is approximately normally distributed. We use the unbiased estimate of the population variance from part (i), .
Under , the test statistic is:
2. Formulate an inequality for $n$ based on the non-rejection condition at the 6% significance level.
For a one-tail test at the level of significance, the critical value is given by .
Since the null hypothesis was not rejected, the calculated test statistic must be less than or equal to the critical value:
3. Solve the inequality to find the range of values for $n$.
Since must be an integer and the question states , the range of values for is:
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