某种特定品牌二手车的平均折旧价值为 千美元,其折旧情况随车龄 年的变化如下表所示。

- ((i))
绘制散点图来展示数据。
- ((ii))
结合散点图 and 问题背景,评述线性模型是否合适。
- ((iii))
解释为什么在这种背景下,二次模型可能不适合进行长期预测。
- ((iv))
将 形式的模型拟合到数据中,并用它来预测一辆车龄为 年的汽车的折旧价值。
它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的
完整解法
7((i))
1. Set up and label the coordinate axes with appropriate scales
Horizontal axis: Label as (Age, years) with a scale covering to .
Vertical axis: Label as (Trade-in value, thousand dollars) with a scale covering (or a broken axis starting from ) to .
2. Plot the given data points
Plot the 7 coordinate points:
.
[A properly scaled scatter diagram with Age on the horizontal axis, Trade-in value on the vertical axis, and the 7 data points correctly plotted.]
7((ii))
1. State whether a linear model is appropriate based on the scatter diagram.
From the scatter diagram (plotted in part (i)), the data points follow a curve rather than a linear trend. Thus, a linear model is not appropriate.
2. State whether a linear model is appropriate based on the context of the question.
In the context of the problem, a linear model would imply a constant rate of depreciation, meaning that for a sufficiently large age , the trade-in value would become negative. Since a car's value cannot be negative, a linear model is inappropriate.
A linear model is not appropriate. From the scatter diagram, the points exhibit a curved pattern rather than a straight line. Contextually, a linear model would eventually predict a negative trade-in value for the car as its age increases, which is practically impossible.
7((iii))
1. State the long-term mathematical behaviour of a quadratic model and relate it to the context.
A quadratic model represents a parabola. For large values of (long-term), if , will eventually start to increase, which contradicts the real-world fact that an aging car's value generally depreciates and does not increase. If , will eventually plunge to take increasingly negative values, which is impossible since a car's value cannot drop below zero. Therefore, a quadratic model is inappropriate.
A quadratic curve is a parabola. For long-term predictions (as gets large), the value will either eventually increase (if the coefficient of is positive) or decrease to negative infinity (if the coefficient is negative), both of which are unrealistic for the depreciating value of a car.
7((iv))
1. Find the equation of the regression line of $\ln y$ on $x$ using a graphing calculator.
By keying the values of and corresponding values of into a graphing calculator, we obtain:
So the fitted model is:
2. Use the regression line to estimate $y$ when $x = 5.5$.
Substitute into the regression equation:
3. State the final predicted value in context.
Since represents the trade-in value in thousands of dollars, the predicted value is (or thousand dollars, correct to 3 s.f.).
(or thousand dollars)
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