A team of naturalists is studying the change in population of wild boars on an island. It is suggested that the population of wild boars, x hundred, at time t years, can be modelled by the differential equation dxdt=110x(5−x).\frac{dx}{dt}=\frac{1}{10}x(5-x).

  1. (i)

    Find an expression for x in terms of t, given that x = 1 when t = 0.

  2. (ii)

    Find the exact time taken for the population of wild boars to reach 200.

  3. (iii)

    Explain in simple terms what will eventually happen to the population of wild boars on the island using this model.

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Worked solution

3(i)

1. Separate the variables to set up the integrals.

∫1x(5−x) dx=∫110 dt\int \frac{1}{x(5-x)} \, dx = \int \frac{1}{10} \, dt

2. Express the rational function as partial fractions.

1x(5−x)=Ax+B5−x\frac{1}{x(5-x)} = \frac{A}{x} + \frac{B}{5-x}
1=A(5−x)+Bx1 = A(5-x) + Bx
Substituting x=0  ⟹  5A=1  ⟹  A=15x = 0 \implies 5A = 1 \implies A = \frac{1}{5}
Substituting x=5  ⟹  5B=1  ⟹  B=15x = 5 \implies 5B = 1 \implies B = \frac{1}{5}
∫(15x+15(5−x)) dx=∫110 dt\int \left( \frac{1}{5x} + \frac{1}{5(5-x)} \right) \, dx = \int \frac{1}{10} \, dt

3. Integrate both sides of the equation.

15ln⁡∣x∣−15ln⁡∣5−x∣=110t+C\frac{1}{5} \ln|x| - \frac{1}{5} \ln|5-x| = \frac{1}{10}t + C

4. Use the initial condition to find the constant of integration.

Given x=1x = 1 when t=0t = 0 (noting that x>0x>0 and 5−x>05-x>0, we can drop the absolute values):
15ln⁡1−15ln⁡(5−1)=110(0)+C\frac{1}{5} \ln 1 - \frac{1}{5} \ln(5-1) = \frac{1}{10}(0) + C
C=−15ln⁡4C = -\frac{1}{5} \ln 4

5. Rearrange the equation to make $x$ the subject.

15ln⁡(x5−x)=110t−15ln⁡4\frac{1}{5} \ln \left( \frac{x}{5-x} \right) = \frac{1}{10}t - \frac{1}{5} \ln 4
Multiply by 5:
ln⁡(x5−x)=12t−ln⁡4\ln \left( \frac{x}{5-x} \right) = \frac{1}{2}t - \ln 4
x5−x=e12t−ln⁡4=14e12t\frac{x}{5-x} = e^{\frac{1}{2}t - \ln 4} = \frac{1}{4}e^{\frac{1}{2}t}
4x=5e12t−xe12t4x = 5e^{\frac{1}{2}t} - xe^{\frac{1}{2}t}
x(4+e12t)=5e12tx(4 + e^{\frac{1}{2}t}) = 5e^{\frac{1}{2}t}
x=5e12t4+e12tx = \frac{5e^{\frac{1}{2}t}}{4 + e^{\frac{1}{2}t}}

Answer

x=5e12t4+e12tx = \frac{5e^{\frac{1}{2}t}}{4 + e^{\frac{1}{2}t}}

3(ii)

1. Solve part (i) concisely to obtain the relationship between $x$ and $t$ (dependency).

Since part (i) is a prerequisite, we first find xx in terms of tt:
∫1x(5−x) dx=∫110 dt\int \frac{1}{x(5-x)} \,dx = \int \frac{1}{10} \,dt
Using partial fractions:
15∫(1x+15−x) dx=110t+C\frac{1}{5} \int \left( \frac{1}{x} + \frac{1}{5-x} \right) \,dx = \frac{1}{10} t + C
ln⁡∣x∣−ln⁡∣5−x∣=12t+5C\ln|x| - \ln|5-x| = \frac{1}{2}t + 5C
Given x=1x=1 when t=0t=0:
ln⁡1−ln⁡4=0+5C  ⟹  5C=−ln⁡4\ln 1 - \ln 4 = 0 + 5C \implies 5C = -\ln 4
ln⁡(x5−x)=12t−ln⁡4\ln\left(\frac{x}{5-x}\right) = \frac{1}{2}t - \ln 4
x5−x=14e0.5t\frac{x}{5-x} = \frac{1}{4}e^{0.5t}
4x=5e0.5t−xe0.5t  ⟹  x=5e0.5t4+e0.5t4x = 5e^{0.5t} - x e^{0.5t} \implies x = \frac{5e^{0.5t}}{4+e^{0.5t}}

2. Interpret the population value and solve for exact $t$.

The population is xx hundred, so a population of 200 wild boars corresponds to x=2x = 2.
Substitute x=2x = 2 into the intermediate equation (or the final expression for xx):
ln⁡(25−2)=12t−ln⁡4\ln\left(\frac{2}{5-2}\right) = \frac{1}{2}t - \ln 4
ln⁡(23)+ln⁡4=12t\ln\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) + \ln 4 = \frac{1}{2}t
12t=ln⁡(83)\frac{1}{2}t = \ln\left(\frac{8}{3}\right)
t=2ln⁡(83)t = 2 \ln\left(\frac{8}{3}\right)

Answer

2ln⁡(83)2 \ln\left(\frac{8}{3}\right) years

3(iii)

1. Evaluate the limit of $x$ as $t \to \infty$ using the result from (i)

From part (i), the solution is typically expressed in the form x=51+4e−0.5tx = \frac{5}{1 + 4e^{-0.5t}}.
As t→∞t \to \infty, the term e−0.5t→0e^{-0.5t} \to 0.
Therefore, x→51+0=5x \to \frac{5}{1 + 0} = 5.

2. Interpret the mathematical limit in the context of the problem

Since xx represents the population in hundreds, a value of x=5x = 5 corresponds to 5×100=5005 \times 100 = 500.
Hence, the population will approach 500 over a long time.

Answer

The population of wild boars will eventually stabilise at 500.

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