On average, one in 40 scientific calculators manufactured by a company is faulty. An educational store manager decides to order scientific calculators from the company. The event that a randomly chosen scientific calculator is faulty is independent of that of another randomly chosen calculator. The number of these scientific calculators which are faulty is denoted by the random variable .
- (i)
State, in the context of the question, an assumption needed for to be well modelled by a binomial distribution.
- (ii)
Assume that the number of faulty scientific calculators in the manager's order follows a binomial distribution.
For the case when , find the mean and variance for the distribution of and hence determine the probability that differs from its mean by an amount less than 2 times its standard deviation.
- (iii)
Find the largest number of scientific calculators that the manager needs to order if the probability that the number of faulty calculators being more than 2 is at most 0.05.
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Worked solution
13(i)
1. State the missing assumption for a binomial model in the given context
The binomial distribution requires a fixed number of trials, independent events, two possible outcomes, and a constant probability of success. Since independence, a fixed number of trials (), and two outcomes (faulty or not) are already established in the question, the remaining assumption is the constant probability of success.
The probability that a randomly chosen scientific calculator is faulty remains constant.
13(ii)
1. Calculate the mean and variance for $n=30$.
Given :
2. Determine the interval of values that differ from the mean by less than 2 standard deviations.
We need to find the probability that :
3. Identify the relevant integer values for $X$ and calculate the required probability.
Since represents the number of faulty calculators, it must be a non-negative integer ().
The integer values satisfying the inequality are .
Using a graphing calculator:
13(iii)
1. Set up the probability inequality in terms of $n$.
Let be the number of faulty calculators in a sample of size . Then .
We are given that .
Using the complement rule, this is equivalent to:
2. Use a graphing calculator to test integer values for $n$.
Using the table function on a graphing calculator for with parameter :
When ,
When ,
3. Conclude the largest possible number of calculators.
Since drops below when increases to , the maximum integer value of that satisfies the condition is .
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