Tim is a student in a school with a large student population. As part of his project, Tim would like to interview some of his schoolmates to obtain some feedback about the school.

  1. (a)

    It can be assumed that the school has equal number of students in Year 1 and Year 2 and there are equal numbers of male and female students in each year. If Tim would like to interview 80 students from the school, explain how he should select the 80 students such that he obtains a fair and representative sample.

  2. (b)

    While in school, Tim overheard a group of teachers claiming that students in the school spend an average of 3 hours each day on their homework. Tim believes that students are spending more time on their homework. Tim interviewed 80 randomly chosen students and summarised the amount of time, xx hours, that the students spend on homework each day as shown below.

    ∑(x−3)=16 and ∑(x−3)2=164.\sum(x-3)=16 \text{ and } \sum(x-3)^2=164.

    Explain why Tim should carry out a one-tailed test.

  3. (c)

    Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.

  4. (d)

    Conduct a hypothesis test at a suitable level of significance to determine if Tim's belief is accurate.

  5. (e)

    Tim interviews another random sample of 10 students and found that the mean time spent each day on homework for these 10 students is 3.2 hours. You may assume that the population standard deviation of the time spent each day on homework is known to be σ\sigma hours. Given that the teachers' claim was rejected using a two-tail hypothesis test at 2% level of significance, determine the range of values of σ\sigma.
    In your working, write down clearly an assumption needed for the calculations to be valid.

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Worked solution

9(a)

1. Identify the relevant strata in the population based on the demographics provided.

The population can be divided into 2×2=42 \times 2 = 4 equal strata: Year 1 males, Year 1 females, Year 2 males, and Year 2 females.

2. Determine the sample size for each stratum and state the sampling method within each.

Since the 4 strata are of equal size and the total sample size is 80, Tim should obtain a simple random sample of 804=20\frac{80}{4} = 20 students from each stratum.

Answer

Tim should use stratified sampling by dividing the student population into 4 groups (strata): Year 1 males, Year 1 females, Year 2 males, and Year 2 females. He should then randomly select 20 students from each group.

9(b)

1. Explain the choice of a one-tailed test based on the context.

The problem states that "Tim believes that students are spending more time on their homework." This corresponds to a directional alternative hypothesis (H1:μ>3H_1: \mu > 3), meaning he is only interested in whether the mean has increased, which justifies a one-tailed test.

Answer

Tim believes that students are spending more time on their homework. Thus, he is testing if the population mean is strictly greater than 3 hours (H1:μ>3H_1: \mu > 3), which requires a one-tailed test.

9(c)

1. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population mean.

xˉ=c+∑(x−c)n\bar{x} = c + \frac{\sum (x-c)}{n}
xˉ=3+1680=3.2\bar{x} = 3 + \frac{16}{80} = 3.2

2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance.

s2=1n−1(∑(x−c)2−(∑(x−c))2n)s^2 = \frac{1}{n-1} \left( \sum (x-c)^2 - \frac{(\sum (x-c))^2}{n} \right)
s2=180−1(164−16280)s^2 = \frac{1}{80-1} \left( 164 - \frac{16^2}{80} \right)
s2=179(164−3.2)s^2 = \frac{1}{79} (164 - 3.2)
s2=160.879≈2.0354≈2.04 (to 3 s.f.)s^2 = \frac{160.8}{79} \approx 2.0354 \approx 2.04 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

Answer

Mean =3.2= 3.2, Variance ≈2.04\approx 2.04

9(d)

1. Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses, and set a suitable level of significance.

Let μ\mu be the population mean time (in hours) students spend on homework each day.

H0:μ=3H_0: \mu = 3
H1:μ>3H_1: \mu > 3

Let the level of significance be α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 (or 5%5\%).

2. State the test distribution and test statistic.

Since the sample size n=80n = 80 is large (n≥30n \ge 30), by the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} is approximately normally distributed.

Under H0H_0, the test statistic is Z=Xˉ−3S/80∼N(0,1)Z = \frac{\bar{X} - 3}{S/\sqrt{80}} \sim N(0, 1) approximately.

3. Calculate the $p$-value using the unbiased estimates from part (c).

From part (c), xˉ=3.2\bar{x} = 3.2 and s2=160.879≈2.0354s^2 = \frac{160.8}{79} \approx 2.0354.

Using the 1-tail Z-test on a graphing calculator with μ0=3\mu_0 = 3, xˉ=3.2\bar{x} = 3.2, s=160.879s = \sqrt{\frac{160.8}{79}} and n=80n = 80:

Test statistic z≈1.2538z \approx 1.2538
p-value=0.10495⋯≈0.105p\text{-value} = 0.10495 \dots \approx 0.105 (to 3 s.f.)

4. Conclude the test in the context of the question.

Since the p-value=0.105>0.05p\text{-value} = 0.105 > 0.05, we do not reject H0H_0.

There is insufficient evidence at the 5%5\% level of significance to conclude that students spend more than 33 hours each day on their homework.
Therefore, Tim's belief is not accurate.

Answer

Do not reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 5%5\% level of significance to conclude that students spend more than 3 hours each day on their homework. Hence, Tim's belief is not accurate.

9(e)

1. State the necessary assumption for a small sample hypothesis test

Assumption: The time spent each day on homework by the students follows a normal distribution.

2. Determine the critical value and state the test statistic for the hypothesis test

For a two-tail test at the 2%2\% level of significance, the critical value is z=2.3263z = 2.3263.
The test statistic under H0:μ=3H_0 : \mu = 3 is given by Z=xˉ−μσ/nZ = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}}.
Substituting the given values:
Z=3.2−3σ/10=0.210σZ = \frac{3.2 - 3}{\sigma / \sqrt{10}} = \frac{0.2\sqrt{10}}{\sigma}

3. Set up and solve the inequality for the rejection region to find the range of $\sigma$

Since the null hypothesis is rejected and xˉ>μ\bar{x} > \mu, the test statistic must lie in the upper critical region:
0.210σ>2.3263\frac{0.2\sqrt{10}}{\sigma} > 2.3263
σ<0.2102.3263\sigma < \frac{0.2\sqrt{10}}{2.3263}
σ<0.27187\sigma < 0.27187
Since the standard deviation must be strictly positive:
0<σ<0.272 (to 3 s.f.)0 < \sigma < 0.272 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

Answer

0<σ<0.2720 < \sigma < 0.272 (to 3 s.f.)

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