The yield per hectare, yy kg, of a crop is believed to depend on the average rainfall, xx mm, in the month of June. For 10 regions, records are kept of the values of xx and yy, and these are shown in the table below. The yield from the tenth region was accidentally deleted from the records after the data was analysed, and this is indicated by the value pp.
Average rainfall (xx mm)149110188135156140168118122174
Yield of crop (yy kg)13.86.515.212.214.412.214.79.59.9pp
Given that the equation of the regression line of yy on xx is y=−2.5652+0.10168xy = -2.5652 + 0.10168x, show that p=14.4p = 14.4.

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Worked solution

10

1. Calculate the sample mean of the average rainfall $x$, denoted as $\bar{x}$.

∑x=149+110+188+135+156+140+168+118+122+174=1460\sum x = 149 + 110 + 188 + 135 + 156 + 140 + 168 + 118 + 122 + 174 = 1460
xˉ=146010=146\bar{x} = \frac{1460}{10} = 146

2. Find the sample mean of the yield $y$, $\bar{y}$, using the property that the regression line passes through the point $(\bar{x}, \bar{y})$.

Substitute xˉ=146\bar{x} = 146 into the given regression line equation y=−2.5652+0.10168xy = -2.5652 + 0.10168x:
yˉ=−2.5652+0.10168(146)\bar{y} = -2.5652 + 0.10168(146)
yˉ=−2.5652+14.84528=12.28008\bar{y} = -2.5652 + 14.84528 = 12.28008

3. Set up an equation for $\bar{y}$ using the given dataset to solve for the missing value $p$.

Calculate the sum of the known yy values:
∑yknown=13.8+6.5+15.2+12.2+14.4+12.2+14.7+9.5+9.9=108.4\sum y_{\text{known}} = 13.8 + 6.5 + 15.2 + 12.2 + 14.4 + 12.2 + 14.7 + 9.5 + 9.9 = 108.4
Using the formula for the mean yˉ=∑yn\bar{y} = \frac{\sum y}{n}:
108.4+p10=12.28008\frac{108.4 + p}{10} = 12.28008
108.4+p=122.8008108.4 + p = 122.8008
p=14.4008p = 14.4008
Rounding to 1 decimal place (consistent with the provided data), we obtain:
p≈14.4 (shown)p \approx 14.4 \text{ (shown)}

Answer

p=14.4p = 14.4

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