A grocery store sells two types of apples, Brand AA and Brand SS. The masses (in grams) of the apples for each brand can be modelled by independent normal distributions with means and standard deviations as shown in the table.
MeanStandard Deviation
Brand AA82.22.2
Brand SS78.83.1
You may assume that the following samples of apples are randomly chosen.

  1. (a)

    Find the probability that the mass of a Brand AA apple is between 80 grams and 84 grams.

  2. (b)

    Find the probability that the total mass of five Brand AA apples is more than 408 grams.

  3. (c)

    The mass of a peeled apple is 90% of its original mass. Find the probability that the difference in mass between a Brand SS apple and a peeled Brand AA apple exceeds one gram.

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Worked solution

8(a)

1. State the distribution for the mass of a Brand $A$ apple.

Let XX be the mass of a Brand AA apple in grams.
X∼N(82.2,2.22)X \sim \mathrm{N}(82.2, 2.2^2)

2. Calculate the required probability using a graphing calculator.

P(80<X<84)=0.634718⋯≈0.635\mathrm{P}(80 < X < 84) = 0.634718\dots \approx 0.635 (to 3 s.f.)

Answer

0.6350.635

8(b)

1. Find the expected value and variance of the total mass of 5 independent Brand $A$ apples.

Let T=A1+A2+A3+A4+A5T = A_1 + A_2 + A_3 + A_4 + A_5 where AiA_i represents the mass of a Brand AA apple.
E(T)=5×82.2=411\mathrm{E}(T) = 5 \times 82.2 = 411
Var(T)=5×2.22=24.2\mathrm{Var}(T) = 5 \times 2.2^2 = 24.2

2. State the distribution of the total mass.

Since the mass of each apple is normally distributed and independent, their sum is also normally distributed.
T∼N(411,24.2)T \sim \mathrm{N}(411, 24.2)

3. Calculate the probability that the total mass is more than 408 grams.

P(T>408)=0.72901≈0.729 (to 3 s.f.)\mathrm{P}(T > 408) = 0.72901 \approx 0.729 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

Answer

0.7290.729

8(c)

1. Define a new random variable for the difference in mass and find its expected value.

Let D=S−0.9AD = S - 0.9A, where SS is the mass of a Brand SS apple and 0.9A0.9A is the mass of a peeled Brand AA apple.
E(D)=E(S)−0.9E(A)\mathrm{E}(D) = \mathrm{E}(S) - 0.9\mathrm{E}(A)
E(D)=78.8−0.9(82.2)\mathrm{E}(D) = 78.8 - 0.9(82.2)
E(D)=78.8−73.98=4.82\mathrm{E}(D) = 78.8 - 73.98 = 4.82

2. Calculate the variance of the difference in mass.

Since SS and AA are independent,
Var(D)=Var(S)+0.92Var(A)\mathrm{Var}(D) = \mathrm{Var}(S) + 0.9^2\mathrm{Var}(A)
Var(D)=3.12+0.81(2.22)\mathrm{Var}(D) = 3.1^2 + 0.81(2.2^2)
Var(D)=9.61+0.81(4.84)=13.5304\mathrm{Var}(D) = 9.61 + 0.81(4.84) = 13.5304
Thus, D∼N(4.82,13.5304)D \sim \mathrm{N}(4.82, 13.5304).

3. Formulate the probability that the absolute difference exceeds one gram.

The phrase "difference in mass" implies the absolute difference. We need to find P(∣D∣>1)\mathrm{P}(|D| > 1).
P(∣D∣>1)=P(D>1)+P(D<−1)\mathrm{P}(|D| > 1) = \mathrm{P}(D > 1) + \mathrm{P}(D < -1)

4. Evaluate the probability using a graphing calculator.

Using the normal cumulative distribution function on a graphing calculator:
P(D>1)≈0.85048\mathrm{P}(D > 1) \approx 0.85048
P(D<−1)≈0.05680\mathrm{P}(D < -1) \approx 0.05680
P(∣D∣>1)=0.85048+0.05680=0.90728\mathrm{P}(|D| > 1) = 0.85048 + 0.05680 = 0.90728
P(∣D∣>1)≈0.907 (to 3 s.f.)\mathrm{P}(|D| > 1) \approx 0.907 \text{ (to 3 s.f.)}

Answer

0.907

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