Epple Company manufactures a large number of E-phones. It is known that 1% of the E-phones manufactured are defective.
- (a)
A sample of 10 E-phones was randomly selected. Find the probability that at least 1 but less than 3 of them are defective.
- (b)
Another sample of 10 E-phones was randomly selected. Find the probability that the tenth E-phone selected was the eighth E-phone that was not defective.
- (c)
A carton, which consists of 24 E-phones, will be rejected if there exists at least two defective E-phones.
Find the probability that a randomly chosen carton is rejected.
- (d)
Samsong Company manufactures Galaxy phones. It is known that 1.5% of Galaxy phones are defective. Galaxy phones are packed into cartons of 20.
Moon-hub retailer ordered a total of 250 cartons of E-phones and 500 cartons of Galaxy phones. By using an approximation, estimate the probability that the total number of defective Galaxy phones exceed the total number of defective E-phones by at least 100.
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Worked solution
10(a)
1. Define the random variable and its distribution
Let be the number of defective E-phones in a sample of 10.
2. Formulate and calculate the required probability
The probability that at least 1 but less than 3 are defective is .
10(b)
1. Translate the condition into an equivalent combination of events
For the 10th E-phone selected to be the 8th not defective E-phone, the first 9 E-phones selected must contain exactly not defective E-phones (and therefore defective E-phones), and the 10th E-phone must be not defective.
2. Calculate the probability using the binomial distribution and multiplication rule
3. Evaluate the probability to 3 significant figures
10(c)
1. Define the random variable and its distribution.
Let be the number of defective E-phones in a carton of 24.
Since each E-phone has a probability of being defective, follows a binomial distribution:
2. Calculate the probability of the carton being rejected using the complement rule.
The carton is rejected if there are at least two defective phones, so we need .
Using the complement rule:
10(d)
1. Define the distributions for the total number of defective phones and approximate them using the normal distribution.
Let be the total number of defective E-phones.
Total number of E-phones
Since is large, and , can be approximated by a normal distribution:
Let be the total number of defective Galaxy phones.
Total number of Galaxy phones
Since is large, and , can be approximated by a normal distribution:
2. Formulate the distribution for the difference between the two variables.
Let .
Assuming the number of defective E-phones and Galaxy phones are independent:
Therefore, .
3. Apply the continuity correction and calculate the required probability.
We need to find the probability that .
Applying the continuity correction for the discrete variables:
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